Wizards vs Kings: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 17, 2021

The Washington Wizards (14-24) host the Sacramento Kings (15-24) as 3-point favorites after Bradley Beal put up 37 points in the Wizards’ 133-122 loss to the Bucks. The matchup airs on NBCS-DC at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 17, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 245.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 17, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Wizards vs Kings Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 17

Wizards:
Ish Smith: Out (Quad),
Thomas Bryant: Out For Season (Left knee)

Kings:
Robert Woodard II: Day To Day (Hamstring),
Hassan Whiteside: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Marvin Bagley III: Day To Day (Hand),
Chimezie Metu: Out (Wrist)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Kings (+3)
Total Pick Under (245.5)
Prediction Wizards 118, Kings 116

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (2.0 points) is slightly less than the 3-point edge DraftKings gives to the Wizards, though the data still has them as the favorite.

The model projects a total (234.8 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game (245.5 points). Take the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Wizards Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Bradley Beal 35 32.3 5.3 4.6 1.4 0.4 2.3
Russell Westbrook 31 21.2 9.3 10.1 1.2 0.3 1.3
Thomas Bryant 10 14.3 6.1 1.5 0.4 0.8 0.9
Rui Hachimura 31 13.2 5.5 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.9
Davis Bertans 33 11.2 3.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 2.9

Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 38 23.6 3.4 7.6 1.2 0.4 1.8
Harrison Barnes 36 16.6 6.2 3.5 0.8 0.2 1.6
Buddy Hield 39 16.5 4.6 3.3 0.8 0.3 3.9
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9
Richaun Holmes 35 13.5 8.7 1.8 0.7 1.5 0.0

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Wizards have a 46% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.1% lower than the 49.1% of shots the Kings’ opponents have made.
  • Washington has a 7-5 record against the spread and a 6-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 49.1% from the field.
  • Sacramento is 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 46% from the field.
  • The Kings are shooting 48.1% from the field, 0.4% higher than the 47.7% the Wizards’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Sacramento has put together a 9-12 record against the spread and a 10-11 straight up record in games it shoots above 47.7% from the field.
  • Washington is 14-7 against the spread and 11-11 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 48.1% from the field.
  • The Wizards’ 34.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is 4.9 percentage points lower than opponents of the Kings have shot from deep (39.6%).
  • Washington is 7-4 against the spread and 5-6 overall when it shoots better than 39.6% from distance.
  • Sacramento is 9-1 against the spread while putting together an 8-2 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 34.7% from beyond the arc.
  • The Kings shoot 36.1% from three-point distance this season. That’s 2.5 percentage points lower than the Wizards have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (38.6%).
  • Sacramento is 5-7 against the spread and 6-6 overall when shooting over 38.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Washington has an 11-6 ATS record and a 9-8 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 36.1% of its three-point shots.
  • The Wizards’ 11.3 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.7 fewer made shots on average than the 12 per game the Kings allow.
  • When Sacramento makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 11-5 against the spread and 10-6 overall. When Washington is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 13-13 ATS and 9-18 straight up.
  • The Wizards rank 24th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Kings allow the 23rd-fewest made threes in the league.

Wizards vs Kings Stat Rankings

Wizards Rank Wizards AVG Kings AVG Kings Rank
10th 114.6 Points Scored 114.8 9th
29th 120.1 Points Allowed 120 30th
16th 43.5 Rebounds 42.8 19th
20th 9.3 Off. Rebounds 10.5 9th
24th 11.3 3pt Made 12 21st
17th 24.9 Assists 26.1 11th
21st 14 Turnovers 13.1 11th

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