Nuggets vs Hornets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 17, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

Nikola Jokic leads the Denver Nuggets (23-16) into a matchup with the Charlotte Hornets (20-18) after putting up 32 points in a 121-106 win over the Pacers. The Hornets are 6.5-point underdogs in the game on Wednesday, March 17, 2021, which tips off at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The point total is 231 for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 17, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Hornets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 17

Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Day To Day (Adductor),
R.J. Hampton: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Monte Morris: Day To Day (Quad)

Hornets: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-6.5)
Total Pick Under (231)
Prediction Nuggets 117, Hornets 109

The model projects the Nuggets to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (8.1 to 6.5).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (225.6 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (231 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 39 27.3 11.2 8.5 1.6 0.6 1.5
Jamal Murray 37 20.8 4.1 4.7 1.1 0.3 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 29 15.3 7.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 2.3
Will Barton 36 12.4 4.1 3.1 0.8 0.4 1.8
Monte Morris 36 10.4 2.2 3.4 0.7 0.3 1.1

Hornets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Gordon Hayward 34 21.1 5.4 3.9 1.5 0.4 2.0
Terry Rozier 36 20.4 3.7 3.2 1.4 0.3 3.4
LaMelo Ball 38 15.8 6.1 6.3 1.6 0.4 2.1
Devonte’ Graham 28 13.4 2.9 5.6 0.9 0.0 2.8
Malik Monk 25 13.1 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.1 2.3

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Hornets have allowed to their opponents (47%).
  • Denver has a 12-8 record against the spread and a 14-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47% from the field.
  • Charlotte’s record is 15-6 against the spread and 15-7 overall when its opponents make more than 48.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Hornets’ 46.4% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents.
  • Charlotte is 16-5 against the spread and 15-6 overall when it shoots higher than 46.8% from the field.
  • When Denver’s opponents shoot greater than 46.4% from the field, it is 13-5 against the spread and 17-1 overall.
  • The Nuggets shoot 38.9% from beyond the arc, 1.8% higher than the 37.1% the Hornets allow to opponents.
  • Denver is 12-12 against the spread and 13-11 overall when it shoots better than 37.1% from distance.
  • Charlotte is 12-7 against the spread and 14-6 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 38.9% from deep.
  • The Hornets are hitting 38.6% of their shots from deep, which is only 2.6 percentage points greater than the 36% the Nuggets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Charlotte is 18-7 against the spread and 17-9 overall when shooting above 36% as a team from three-point range.
  • Denver has a 14-10 ATS record and an 18-6 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 38.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets’ 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.6 fewer made shots on average than the 14 per game the Hornets allow.
  • When Charlotte makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 13-6 against the spread and 14-6 overall. When Denver is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 7-12 ATS and 9-10 straight up.
  • The Nuggets make the ninth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Hornets give up the 29th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Hornets Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Hornets AVG Hornets Rank
6th 115.3 Points Scored 112.8 15th
7th 110.4 Points Allowed 112.7 21st
15th 43.9 Rebounds 44.3 14th
15th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 10.7 7th
9th 13.4 3pt Made 14 7th
6th 26.5 Assists 27.2 2nd
6th 12.6 Turnovers 14.8 29th

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