Clippers vs Mavericks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 17, 2021 - Last Updated on March 29, 2021

The Los Angeles Clippers (26-15) take on the Dallas Mavericks (20-18) as just 2.5-point favorites on Wednesday, March 17, 2021 at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has a point total of 227.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 16, 2021, 3:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Clippers vs Mavericks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 17

Clippers:
Serge Ibaka: Day To Day (Back),
Patrick Beverley: Out (Knee)

Mavericks:
James Johnson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Dwight Powell: Day To Day (Illness)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (+2.5)
Total Pick Under (227)
Prediction Clippers 113, Mavericks 111

The model favors the Clippers by 1.3 points, just 1.2 fewer than the 2.5-point spread set by William Hill.

The William Hill point total for this matchup is just 2.9 points highter than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Clippers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kawhi Leonard 33 26.4 6.4 4.8 1.6 0.5 2.1
Paul George 30 22.9 6.1 5.3 1.1 0.5 3.4
Lou Williams 38 12.4 2.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 1.1
Marcus Morris 31 11.9 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 2.2
Serge Ibaka 39 10.9 6.7 1.7 0.2 1.2 1.0

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 35 28.1 8.5 9.3 1.0 0.6 2.7
Kristaps Porzingis 23 20.8 8.4 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 37 16.3 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 2.9
Josh Richardson 29 13.3 3.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 1.6
Jalen Brunson 34 12.8 3.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 1.3

Shooting Trends

  • The Clippers make 48.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.2%).
  • Los Angeles has a 19-8 record against the spread and a 22-5 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 46.2% from the field.
  • Dallas has a 15-10 record against the spread and a 16-9 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 48.3% of their shots from the field.
  • The Mavericks have shot at a 46.7% rate from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points below the 47.1% shooting opponents of the Clippers have averaged.
  • This season, Dallas has an 11-8 record against the spread and a 14-5 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 47.1% from the field.
  • When Los Angeles’ opponents shoot higher than 46.7% from the field, it is 12-8 against the spread and 14-6 overall.
  • The Clippers are making 41.8% of their three-point shots this season, 4.4% higher than the 37.4% the Mavericks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Los Angeles is 17-11 against the spread and 20-8 overall when it shoots better than 37.4% from distance.
  • Dallas is 14-9 against the spread while putting up a 14-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 41.8% from three-point distance.
  • The Mavericks shoot 35.4% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 0.8 percentage points lower than the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.2%).
  • Dallas is 8-8 ATS and 11-5 overall when the team makes more than 36.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Los Angeles is 15-6 ATS and 16-5 overall in games it shoots over 35.4% from deep.
  • The Clippers make 14.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.1 more made shots on average than the 13.4 per game the Mavericks allow.
  • When Los Angeles makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 19-10 against the spread and 22-7 overall. When Dallas is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 4-16 ATS and 5-15 straight up.
  • The Clippers rank sixth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Mavericks allow the 24th-fewest made threes in the league.

Clippers vs Mavericks Stat Rankings

Clippers Rank Clippers AVG Mavericks AVG Mavericks Rank
8th 115.1 Points Scored 111.6 21st
6th 109.7 Points Allowed 111.9 15th
24th 44.3 Rebounds 42.8 26th
18th 9.5 Off. Rebounds 8.4 26th
6th 14.5 3pt Made 13.4 10th
18th 24.3 Assists 22.8 25th
4th 12.4 Turnovers 11.5 3rd

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