The Los Angeles Clippers (26-15) take on the Dallas Mavericks (20-18) as just 2.5-point favorites on Wednesday, March 17, 2021 at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has a point total of 227.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 16, 2021, 3:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Clippers vs Mavericks Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 17
Clippers:
Serge Ibaka: Day To Day (Back),
Patrick Beverley: Out (Knee)
Mavericks:
James Johnson: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Dwight Powell: Day To Day (Illness)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Mavericks (+2.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (227) |
| Prediction | Clippers 113, Mavericks 111 |
The model favors the Clippers by 1.3 points, just 1.2 fewer than the 2.5-point spread set by William Hill.
The William Hill point total for this matchup is just 2.9 points highter than the model projection.
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Clippers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | 33 | 26.4 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Paul George | 30 | 22.9 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Lou Williams | 38 | 12.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Marcus Morris | 31 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| Serge Ibaka | 39 | 10.9 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 35 | 28.1 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 23 | 20.8 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 37 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.9 |
| Josh Richardson | 29 | 13.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Brunson | 34 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
Shooting Trends
- The Clippers make 48.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.2%).
- Los Angeles has a 19-8 record against the spread and a 22-5 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 46.2% from the field.
- Dallas has a 15-10 record against the spread and a 16-9 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 48.3% of their shots from the field.
- The Mavericks have shot at a 46.7% rate from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points below the 47.1% shooting opponents of the Clippers have averaged.
- This season, Dallas has an 11-8 record against the spread and a 14-5 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 47.1% from the field.
- When Los Angeles’ opponents shoot higher than 46.7% from the field, it is 12-8 against the spread and 14-6 overall.
- The Clippers are making 41.8% of their three-point shots this season, 4.4% higher than the 37.4% the Mavericks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Los Angeles is 17-11 against the spread and 20-8 overall when it shoots better than 37.4% from distance.
- Dallas is 14-9 against the spread while putting up a 14-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 41.8% from three-point distance.
- The Mavericks shoot 35.4% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 0.8 percentage points lower than the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.2%).
- Dallas is 8-8 ATS and 11-5 overall when the team makes more than 36.2% of its three-point attempts.
- Los Angeles is 15-6 ATS and 16-5 overall in games it shoots over 35.4% from deep.
- The Clippers make 14.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.1 more made shots on average than the 13.4 per game the Mavericks allow.
- When Los Angeles makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 19-10 against the spread and 22-7 overall. When Dallas is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 4-16 ATS and 5-15 straight up.
- The Clippers rank sixth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Mavericks allow the 24th-fewest made threes in the league.
Clippers vs Mavericks Stat Rankings
| Clippers Rank | Clippers AVG | Mavericks AVG | Mavericks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8th | 115.1 | Points Scored | 111.6 | 21st |
| 6th | 109.7 | Points Allowed | 111.9 | 15th |
| 24th | 44.3 | Rebounds | 42.8 | 26th |
| 18th | 9.5 | Off. Rebounds | 8.4 | 26th |
| 6th | 14.5 | 3pt Made | 13.4 | 10th |
| 18th | 24.3 | Assists | 22.8 | 25th |
| 4th | 12.4 | Turnovers | 11.5 | 3rd |
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