Heat vs Magic: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 14, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 14, 2021 - Last Updated on March 17, 2021

The Orlando Magic (13-25) host the Miami Heat (20-18) after losing four straight home games. The Heat are favored by 7.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 14, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 208.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 14, 2021, 11:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Magic Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 14

Avery Bradley: Out (Calf),
Bam Adebayo: Out (Knee),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee)

Jonathan Isaac: Out For Season (Knee),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Ankle),
James Ennis III: Out (Calf),
Terrence Ross: Day To Day (Knee),
Cole Anthony: Out (Rib),
Evan Fournier: Out (Groin),
Markelle Fultz: Out For Season (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Magic (+7.5)
Total Pick Over (208.5)
Prediction Heat 110, Magic 105

The model favors the Heat by 4.8 points, just 2.7 fewer than the 7.5-point spread set by William Hill.

The model projects a total (215.6 points) much higher than the one set by William Hill for this game (208.5 points). Take the over.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Jimmy Butler 24 21.1 7.4 8.0 2.0 0.4 0.4
Bam Adebayo 33 19.2 9.5 5.4 0.9 1.0 0.1
Tyler Herro 27 15.4 5.6 3.6 0.6 0.4 1.9
Goran Dragic 24 15.0 3.2 4.8 0.5 0.1 1.8
Kendrick Nunn 30 14.0 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 2.0

Heat Player Props

  • Jimmy Butler’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 34.5, 2.0 less than his season average of 36.5.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Butler’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 2.0.

Magic Key Players

Nikola Vucevic 38 24.6 11.7 3.7 0.9 0.6 2.6
Evan Fournier 21 18.5 3.1 3.8 1.0 0.3 2.5
Terrence Ross 35 15.5 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.5 2.1
Aaron Gordon 20 13.6 7.0 4.0 0.7 0.9 1.6
Markelle Fultz 8 12.9 3.1 5.4 0.9 0.3 0.5

Magic Player Props

  • Nikola Vucevic’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 39.5, 0.5 less than his season average of 40.0.
  • Vucevic’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.9 shots greater than his season average of 2.6.
  • Terrence Ross’ steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals higher than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Heat make 46.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.8 percentage points lower than the Magic have allowed to their opponents (47%).
  • Miami has a 10-6-1 record against the spread and an 11-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • Orlando is 6-7-1 against the spread and 6-8 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 46.2% from the field.
  • The Magic are shooting 43% from the field, 1.4% lower than the 44.4% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
  • Orlando has compiled a 12-3 record against the spread and a 9-6 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 44.4% from the field.
  • When Miami’s opponents shoot over 43% from the field, it is 11-7 against the spread and 13-5 overall.
  • The Heat’s 35.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 1.8 percentage points lower than opponents of the Magic have shot from deep (37%).
  • Miami has a 9-5-1 record against the spread and a 12-3 record overall when the team hits more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
  • Orlando is 10-7 against the spread while putting up a 9-8 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 35.2% from downtown.
  • The Magic shoot 35.3% from beyond the arc this season. That’s just one percentage point lower than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
  • Orlando is 10-5-1 ATS and 7-9 overall when the team makes more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 10-7-1 ATS record and an 11-7 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 35.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Heat make 12.8 three-pointers per game this season, one more make per game than the Magic give up (11.8).
  • When Miami makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall. When Orlando is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 7-15-1 ATS and 5-18 straight up.
  • The Heat rank 15th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Magic allow the 25th-fewest made threes in the league.

Heat vs Magic Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Magic AVG Magic Rank
26th 106.8 Points Scored 104.8 29th
4th 107.8 Points Allowed 111.9 14th
27th 42.4 Rebounds 46.7 8th
30th 7.4 Off. Rebounds 10.7 7th
15th 12.8 3pt Made 11.8 22nd
11th 25.8 Assists 22.6 26th
26th 14.6 Turnovers 12.6 6th

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