The Chicago Bulls (16-19) host the Miami Heat (19-18) after losing three home games in a row. The Heat are favored by just 2.5 points in the contest, which starts at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, March 12, 2021. The matchup’s point total is 221.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 12, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Heat vs Bulls Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 12
Heat:
Avery Bradley: Day To Day (Calf),
Bam Adebayo: Day To Day (Knee),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder)
Bulls:
Devon Dotson: Day To Day (Knee),
Chandler Hutchison: Out (Personal)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Bulls (+2.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (221.5) |
| Prediction | Heat 112, Bulls 111 |
The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (0.0 points) is a little bit less than the 2.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Heat, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The model predicts a total 1.2 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 23 | 20.8 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Bam Adebayo | 33 | 19.2 | 9.5 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Tyler Herro | 26 | 15.9 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goran Dragic | 23 | 14.6 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 |
| Kendrick Nunn | 29 | 14.2 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 |
Heat Player Props
- Jimmy Butler’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 32.5, 3.8 lower than his season average of 36.3.
- Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 3.2.
- Butler’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals less than his season average of 2.0.
Bulls Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 35 | 28.4 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 |
| Lauri Markkanen | 15 | 19.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.1 |
| Coby White | 35 | 16.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| Thaddeus Young | 31 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 24 | 12.1 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
Bulls Player Props
- Zach LaVine’s points prop total for the contest is set at 28.5, 0.1 points higher than his season average of 28.4.
- Wendell Carter Jr.’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 21.5, 0.6 lower than his season average of 22.1.
- LaVine’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
Shooting Trends
- The Heat are shooting 46.2% from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points lower than the 47.7% the Bulls allow to opponents.
- Miami is 9-6 against the spread and 11-4 overall when it shoots better than 47.7% from the field.
- Chicago has an 11-3 record against the spread and an 11-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 46.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Bulls’ 48.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is four percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (44.5%).
- This season, Chicago has a 16-9 record against the spread and a 13-13 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 44.5% from the field.
- This season, Miami has a 13-17 record against the spread and an 18-12 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 48.5% from the field.
- The Heat’s 35.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bulls have shot from deep (35.1%).
- Miami has an 11-9 record against the spread and a 14-6 record overall when the team knocks down more than 35.1% of its three-point shots.
- Chicago has put up an 11-7 against the spread while going 12-7 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 35.2% from downtown.
- The Bulls shoot 38.1% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 1.9 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.2%).
- Chicago has a 14-7 ATS record and is 11-10 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.2% of its three-point attempts.
- Miami has a 13-13 ATS record and a 17-9 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 38.1% of its three-point attempts.
- The Heat knock down 12.9 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.1 per game the Bulls give up.
- Chicago is 11-9 against the spread and 11-9 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Miami is 8-15 ATS and 9-14 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
- The Bulls are the 13th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Heat give up the 28th-fewest makes from deep.
Heat vs Bulls Stat Rankings
| Heat Rank | Heat AVG | Bulls AVG | Bulls Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26th | 106.9 | Points Scored | 114.7 | 9th |
| 5th | 108.2 | Points Allowed | 115.5 | 25th |
| 27th | 42.4 | Rebounds | 44.1 | 15th |
| 30th | 7.6 | Off. Rebounds | 8.9 | 22nd |
| 15th | 12.9 | 3pt Made | 13.1 | 13th |
| 11th | 25.8 | Assists | 26.2 | 8th |
| 28th | 14.8 | Turnovers | 15.4 | 30th |
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