Spurs vs Magic: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 12, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 12, 2021 - Last Updated on March 17, 2021

A game after he put up 30 points in an 115-104 loss to the Mavericks, DeMar DeRozan leads the San Antonio Spurs (18-15) at home against the Orlando Magic (13-24) as 6.5-point favorites. The matchup, which airs on FS-FL, begins at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, March 12, 2021. The over/under is 215.5 for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 12, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Spurs vs Magic Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 12

Spurs:
DeMar DeRozan: Out (Personal)

Magic:
Jonathan Isaac: Out For Season (Knee),
James Ennis III: Day To Day (Calf),
Terrence Ross: Day To Day (Knee),
Cole Anthony: Out (Rib),
Evan Fournier: Day To Day (Groin),
Markelle Fultz: Out For Season (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Spurs (-6.5)
Total Pick Over (215.5)
Prediction Spurs 114, Magic 105

The model projects the Spurs to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (8.9 to 6.5).

In this game, the model projects a total (219.8 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (215.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 30 20.3 4.7 7.3 1.0 0.3 0.6
Dejounte Murray 33 15.6 7.0 5.3 1.6 0.1 1.1
Keldon Johnson 30 14.0 6.6 2.1 0.7 0.5 1.0
Patty Mills 33 13.3 1.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 2.8
Lonnie Walker IV 31 11.3 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.4 1.8

Spurs Player Props

  • Jakob Poeltl’s rebounding prop over/under for the game is listed at 10.5 boards, 3.2 rebounds greater than his season average of 7.3.
  • Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 2.8.
  • Poeltl’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 1.0 block higher than his season average of 1.5.

Magic Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Vucevic 37 24.6 11.7 3.7 1.0 0.6 2.6
Evan Fournier 21 18.5 3.1 3.8 1.0 0.3 2.5
Terrence Ross 35 15.5 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.5 2.1
Aaron Gordon 20 13.6 7.0 4.0 0.7 0.9 1.6
Markelle Fultz 8 12.9 3.1 5.4 0.9 0.3 0.5

Magic Player Props

  • Nikola Vucevic’s points prop total for the contest is set at 29.5, 4.9 points higher than his season average of 24.6.
  • Vucevic’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Aaron Gordon’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.4 blocks lower than his season average of 0.9.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Spurs have a 45.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% lower than the 47% of shots the Magic’s opponents have knocked down.
  • San Antonio is 10-2 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • Orlando is 6-6-1 against the spread and 6-7 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.6% from the field.
  • The Magic have shot at a 43.1% rate from the field this season, 3.5 percentage points fewer than the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
  • Orlando is 9-0 against the spread and 8-1 overall when it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
  • When San Antonio’s opponents shoot greater than 43.1% from the field, it is 6-2 against the spread and 4-4 overall.
  • The Spurs’ 36.5% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.6 percentage points lower than opponents of the Magic have shot from deep (37.1%).
  • San Antonio is 11-5-1 against the spread and 11-6 overall when it shoots better than 37.1% from distance.
  • Orlando has put up a 13-6 against the spread while going 11-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 36.5% from downtown.
  • The Magic shoot 35.6% from three-point distance this season. That’s only 2.5 percentage points lower than the Spurs have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (38.1%).
  • Orlando is 10-3 ATS and 7-6 overall when the team hits more than 38.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • San Antonio has an 11-3 ATS record and a 10-4 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 35.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Spurs’ 11.1 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.7 fewer made shots on average than the 11.8 per game the Magic give up.
  • Orlando has gone 10-4 against the spread and 8-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Antonio hits fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 8-14-1 ATS and 9-14 straight up.
  • The Magic make the 22nd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Spurs allow the 20th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Spurs vs Magic Stat Rankings

Spurs Rank Spurs AVG Magic AVG Magic Rank
22nd 110.8 Points Scored 105.5 28th
9th 111.1 Points Allowed 112.2 14th
19th 44.5 Rebounds 46.7 8th
21st 9 Off. Rebounds 10.8 8th
25th 11.1 3pt Made 11.8 22nd
15th 25 Assists 22.7 25th
1st 10.7 Turnovers 12.4 4th

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