A game after he put up 30 points in an 115-104 loss to the Mavericks, DeMar DeRozan leads the San Antonio Spurs (18-15) at home against the Orlando Magic (13-24) as 6.5-point favorites. The matchup, which airs on FS-FL, begins at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, March 12, 2021. The over/under is 215.5 for the matchup.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 12, 2021, 12:05 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Spurs vs Magic Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 12
Spurs:
DeMar DeRozan: Out (Personal)
Magic:
Jonathan Isaac: Out For Season (Knee),
James Ennis III: Day To Day (Calf),
Terrence Ross: Day To Day (Knee),
Cole Anthony: Out (Rib),
Evan Fournier: Day To Day (Groin),
Markelle Fultz: Out For Season (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Spurs (-6.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (215.5) |
| Prediction | Spurs 114, Magic 105 |
The model projects the Spurs to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (8.9 to 6.5).
In this game, the model projects a total (219.8 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (215.5 points).
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Spurs Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 30 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Dejounte Murray | 33 | 15.6 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 14.0 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Patty Mills | 33 | 13.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 31 | 11.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.8 |
Spurs Player Props
- Jakob Poeltl’s rebounding prop over/under for the game is listed at 10.5 boards, 3.2 rebounds greater than his season average of 7.3.
- Patty Mills’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 2.8.
- Poeltl’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 1.0 block higher than his season average of 1.5.
Magic Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic | 37 | 24.6 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Evan Fournier | 21 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 |
| Terrence Ross | 35 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Aaron Gordon | 20 | 13.6 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Markelle Fultz | 8 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Magic Player Props
- Nikola Vucevic’s points prop total for the contest is set at 29.5, 4.9 points higher than his season average of 24.6.
- Vucevic’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
- Aaron Gordon’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.4 blocks lower than his season average of 0.9.
Shooting Trends
- This season, the Spurs have a 45.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% lower than the 47% of shots the Magic’s opponents have knocked down.
- San Antonio is 10-2 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it shoots better than 47% from the field.
- Orlando is 6-6-1 against the spread and 6-7 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.6% from the field.
- The Magic have shot at a 43.1% rate from the field this season, 3.5 percentage points fewer than the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
- Orlando is 9-0 against the spread and 8-1 overall when it shoots better than 46.6% from the field.
- When San Antonio’s opponents shoot greater than 43.1% from the field, it is 6-2 against the spread and 4-4 overall.
- The Spurs’ 36.5% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.6 percentage points lower than opponents of the Magic have shot from deep (37.1%).
- San Antonio is 11-5-1 against the spread and 11-6 overall when it shoots better than 37.1% from distance.
- Orlando has put up a 13-6 against the spread while going 11-8 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 36.5% from downtown.
- The Magic shoot 35.6% from three-point distance this season. That’s only 2.5 percentage points lower than the Spurs have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (38.1%).
- Orlando is 10-3 ATS and 7-6 overall when the team hits more than 38.1% of its three-point attempts.
- San Antonio has an 11-3 ATS record and a 10-4 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 35.6% of its three-point attempts.
- The Spurs’ 11.1 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.7 fewer made shots on average than the 11.8 per game the Magic give up.
- Orlando has gone 10-4 against the spread and 8-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Antonio hits fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 8-14-1 ATS and 9-14 straight up.
- The Magic make the 22nd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Spurs allow the 20th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Spurs vs Magic Stat Rankings
| Spurs Rank | Spurs AVG | Magic AVG | Magic Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22nd | 110.8 | Points Scored | 105.5 | 28th |
| 9th | 111.1 | Points Allowed | 112.2 | 14th |
| 19th | 44.5 | Rebounds | 46.7 | 8th |
| 21st | 9 | Off. Rebounds | 10.8 | 8th |
| 25th | 11.1 | 3pt Made | 11.8 | 22nd |
| 15th | 25 | Assists | 22.7 | 25th |
| 1st | 10.7 | Turnovers | 12.4 | 4th |
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