Michigan vs. Maryland Picks & Best Bets — Big Ten Tournament 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 12, 2021 - Last Updated on March 17, 2021

The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (19-3) are favored by 8.5 points when they play the No. 8 seed Maryland Terrapins (15-12) in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Friday at Lucas Oil Stadium tipping off at 11:30 AM ET and airing on BTN.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 12, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Wolverines’ average implied point total this season is 5.3 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (76.3 implied points on average compared to 71 implied points in this game).
  • Michigan has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (71) 15 times this season.
  • The Terrapins’ average implied point total on the season (72.1 points) is 10.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (62 points).
  • Maryland is attempting to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (62) for the 19th time this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Michigan and Maryland Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 8.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Wolverines 16-5 7-2 8-13
Terrapins 9-14 3-3 9-13-1

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Wolverines make 48.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 7.9 percentage points higher than the Terrapins have allowed to their opponents (41%).
  • Michigan is 15-3 against the spread and 18-1 overall in games when it collectively shoots higher than 41% from the field.
  • Maryland’s record is 9-11 against the spread and 15-9 overall when it allows its opponents to make more than 48.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Terrapins are shooting 44.9% from the field, 6.1% higher than the 38.8% the Wolverines’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Maryland is 14-8 overall and 8-11 against the spread when it shoots better than 38.8% from the field.
  • This season, Michigan has a 14-3 record against the spread and a 17-1 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 44.9% from the field.
  • The Wolverines shoot 38.7% from three-point range, 4.8% higher than the 33.9% the Terrapins allow to opponents.
  • Michigan has assembled a 12-1 record against the spread and a 14-0 straight-up record in games this season when connecting on more than 33.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Maryland has put up an 8-8 against the spread while going 12-7 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.7% from downtown.
  • The Terrapins three-point shooting percentage this season (35%) is 2.4 percentage points higher than opponents of the Wolverines are averaging (32.6%).
  • Maryland’s record is 7-8 ATS and 11-6 overall when the team makes more than 32.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Michigan has a 12-2 ATS record and a 14-1 straight-up record in games this season when it makes more than 35% of its three-point shots.
  • Maryland has gone 7-3 against the spread and 10-2 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Michigan makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 4-2 ATS and 5-1 straight up.

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