The No. 1 seed San Diego State Aztecs (20-4) are favored by 14.5 points in their MWC Tournament quarterfinal matchup against the No. 8 seed Wyoming Cowboys (14-10) on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 3:00 PM ET on CBS Sports. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Aztecs this season is 73 points, six fewer points than their implied total of 79 points in Thursday’s game.
- San Diego State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (79) seven times this season.
- The Cowboys’ average implied point total on the season (77 points) is 13 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (64 points).
- Wyoming has totaled more than 64 points 19 times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
San Diego State and Wyoming Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 14.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aztecs | 13-10 | 4-1 | 13-10 |
| Cowboys | 13-10 | 1-0 | 14-8-1 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Aztecs make 45.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.4 percentage points lower than the Cowboys have allowed to their opponents (47.8%).
- San Diego State is 8-0 against the spread and 9-0 overall in games when it collectively shoots better than 47.8% from the field.
- Wyoming is 7-1 against the spread and 8-0 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot better than 45.4% from the field.
- The Cowboys’ 45% shooting percentage from the field this season is 6.3 percentage points higher than the Aztecs have given up to their opponents (38.7%).
- Wyoming has put together an 11-7 record against the spread and a 13-6 record overall in games when it shoots better than 38.7% from the field.
- San Diego State is 10-9 against the spread and 17-3 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 45% from the field.
- The Aztecs’ 38% three-point shooting percentage this season is 5.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Cowboys have shot from beyond the arc (32.9%).
- San Diego State is 13-2 overall and 10-4 against the spread when it shoots better than 32.9% from distance.
- Wyoming has compiled a 12-7 against the spread while going 12-7 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38% from deep.
- The Cowboys three-point shooting percentage this season (35.2%) is 2.7 percentage points higher than opponents of the Aztecs are averaging (32.5%).
- Wyoming has a 9-4 ATS record and is 12-2 straight-up in games when the team makes more than 32.5% of its three-point attempts.
- San Diego State is 10-6 ATS and 15-2 overall in games it shoots over 35.2% from deep.
- The Aztecs connect on 8.8 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 10 per game the Cowboys give up.
- Wyoming has gone 13-6 against the spread and 13-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When San Diego State makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 4-5 ATS and 7-2 straight up.
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