The No. 3 seed Morgan State Bears (12-7) are favored by 3 points in the MEAC Tournament quarterfinals when they meet the No. 2 seed Florida A&M Rattlers (8-11) Thursday at Norfolk Scope Arena, beginning at 6:00 PM ET. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Bears (-3)
The DraftKings line for this game has the Bears favored by three, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (4.6 points).
Pick OU:
Over (139)
The model predicts a total 4.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: Morgan State 74, Florida A&M 69
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Bears have an average implied point total of 78.3 this season, which is 7.3 points higher than their implied total in Thursday’s game (71).
- Morgan State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (71) 14 times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Rattlers (74.9) is 6.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (68).
- Florida A&M has scored more than 68 points in seven games this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Morgan State and Florida A&M Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 3+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | 7-6 | 3-4 | 9-4 |
| Rattlers | 11-7 | 1-3 | 7-11 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Bears are shooting 44% from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points higher than the 42.8% the Rattlers allow to opponents.
- Morgan State has amassed a 5-1 record against the spread and a 7-2 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 42.8% from the field.
- Florida A&M has gone 6-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot higher than 44% from the field.
- The Rattlers have shot at a 44.3% clip from the field this season, 1.8 percentage points higher than the 42.5% shooting opponents of the Bears have averaged.
- This season, Florida A&M has a 7-5 record overall and an 8-3 record against the spread in games the team collectively shoots better than 42.5% from the field.
- Morgan State is 5-2 against the spread and 8-2 straight up in games when allowing opponents to shoot above 44.3% from the field.
- The Bears are hitting 34.7% of their three-point shots this season, 6.9% higher than the 27.8% the Rattlers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Morgan State is 9-5 overall and 5-4 against the spread when it shoots better than 27.8% from distance.
- Florida A&M has an 8-6 record against the spread while going 7-7 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 34.7% from downtown.
- The Rattlers shoot 32.2% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 0.4 percentage points higher than the Bears have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (31.8%).
- Florida A&M has a 6-3 ATS record and has gone 4-6 straight-up when hitting more than 31.8% of its three-point attempts.
- Morgan State is 4-1 ATS and 8-1 overall in games it shoots over 32.2% from deep.
- The Bears hit 8.6 three-pointers per game this season, 3.8 more made shots on average than the 4.8 per game the Rattlers give up.
- Morgan State is 5-1 against the spread and 8-1 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Florida A&M is 7-4 ATS and 5-7 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
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