Ole Miss vs. South Carolina Picks & Best Bets — SEC Tournament 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 11, 2021

The No. 6 seed Ole Miss Rebels (15-10) are 7-point favorites in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals when they face off against the No. 11 seed South Carolina Gamecocks (6-14) on Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 9:00 PM ET on SECN. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Rebels (-7)

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Rebels to walk away with the win, but the model spread (8.2) is 1.2 points further in their direction.

Pick OU:
Over (140)

In this game, the model projects a total (142.1 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (140 points).

Prediction: Ole Miss 75, South Carolina 67

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Rebels this season is 72.7 points, 1.3 fewer points than their implied total of 74 points in Thursday’s game.
  • Ole Miss has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (74) eight times this season.
  • The 76.6-point average implied total on the season for the Gamecocks is 9.6 more points than the team’s 67-point implied total in this matchup.
  • South Carolina has put up more than 67 points 16 times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Ole Miss and South Carolina Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 7+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Rebels 14-11 7-5 7-18
Gamecocks 7-13 0-2 13-6-1

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Rebels are shooting 44.2% from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points lower than the 46.3% the Gamecocks allow to opponents.
  • In games Ole Miss shoots higher than 46.3% from the field, it is 7-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • South Carolina is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 44.2% from the field.
  • The Gamecocks are shooting 41.8% from the field, 0.5% lower than the 42.3% the Rebels’ opponents have shot this season.
  • South Carolina has put together a 4-4 straight up record and a 6-2 record against the spread in games it shoots over 42.3% from the field.
  • Ole Miss is 12-1 against the spread and 13-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 41.8% from the field.
  • The Rebels are making 29.7% of their three-point shots this season, 7.2% lower than the 36.9% the Gamecocks allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Ole Miss has a 4-1 record against the spread and a 4-1 record overall when the team connects on more than 36.9% of its attempts from three-point range.
  • South Carolina is 4-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall when its opponents hit more than 29.7% of their shots from deep.
  • The Gamecocks three-point shooting percentage this season (30.8%) is 5.4 percentage points lower than opponents of the Rebels are averaging (36.2%).
  • South Carolina is 3-3 straight-up and has a 3-3 ATS record when the team hits more than 36.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Ole Miss has an 8-2 ATS record and a 9-1 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 30.8% from distance.
  • The Rebels’ 5.2 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.8 fewer made shots on average than the 7 per game the Gamecocks allow.
  • When South Carolina makes more threes than its opponents, it is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall. When Ole Miss is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 8-6 ATS and 8-6 straight up.

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