The Milwaukee Bucks (22-14) take the court against the New York Knicks (19-18) as heavy, 11-point favorites on Thursday, March 11, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET on MSG. The over/under for the matchup is set at 222.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 11, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Bucks vs Knicks Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of March 11
Bucks:
Jordan Nwora: Out (Ankle)
Knicks:
Mitchell Robinson: Out (Hand),
Derrick Rose: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Austin Rivers: Out (Personal),
Taj Gibson: Day To Day (Ankle)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Knicks (+11) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (222.5) |
| Prediction | Bucks 114, Knicks 106 |
The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (7.7 points) is much tighter than the 11-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Knicks to cover.
The model projects a total 2.2 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Bucks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 35 | 29.0 | 11.7 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Khris Middleton | 36 | 20.6 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Jrue Holiday | 26 | 15.3 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Bobby Portis | 36 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Brook Lopez | 36 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Knicks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 37 | 23.2 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 |
| RJ Barrett | 37 | 16.5 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Derrick Rose | 25 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Elfrid Payton | 33 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 33 | 12.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
Shooting Trends
- The Bucks make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is five percentage points higher than the Knicks have allowed to their opponents (43.5%).
- Milwaukee is 15-15 against the spread and 20-10 overall when it shoots higher than 43.5% from the field.
- New York has an 18-12 record against the spread and a 16-14 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.5% of their shots from the field.
- The Knicks have shot at a 45.6% clip from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points greater than the 45.5% shooting opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
- New York is 15-4 against the spread and 15-4 overall when it shoots higher than 45.5% from the field.
- When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot above 45.6% from the field, it is 15-3 against the spread and 18-0 overall.
- The Bucks shoot 38.8% from deep, 5.8% higher than the 33% the Knicks allow to opponents.
- Milwaukee has a 13-12 record against the spread and a 17-8 record overall when the team connects on more than 33% of its three-point attempts.
- New York has put up a 17-10 against the spread while going 16-11 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 38.8% from deep.
- The Knicks are making 37.2% of their shots from deep, which is -0.2 percentage points higher than the 37.4% the Bucks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- New York is 13-5 ATS and 12-6 overall when the team makes more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Milwaukee has a 15-6 ATS record and an 18-3 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 37.2% of its three-point shots.
- The Bucks connect on 14.5 three-pointers per game this season, 4.2 more made shots on average than the 10.3 per game the Knicks allow.
- Milwaukee is 11-5 against the spread and 14-2 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while New York is 10-13 ATS and 8-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
- The Bucks make the fifth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Knicks give up the 12th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Bucks vs Knicks Stat Rankings
| Bucks Rank | Bucks AVG | Knicks AVG | Knicks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 118.9 | Points Scored | 104.9 | 29th |
| 19th | 112.5 | Points Allowed | 104.4 | 1st |
| 2nd | 48.2 | Rebounds | 46.5 | 5th |
| 9th | 10.6 | Off. Rebounds | 10.4 | 13th |
| 5th | 14.5 | 3pt Made | 10.3 | 29th |
| 11th | 25.8 | Assists | 21.2 | 29th |
| 9th | 13 | Turnovers | 13.1 | 10th |
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