Pelicans vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 11, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 11, 2021

The Minnesota Timberwolves (7-29) are underdogs (+8.5) as they try to stop a nine-game losing streak when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans (15-21) at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, March 11, 2021 at Smoothie King Center. The game airs on FS-N. The matchup’s point total is set at 239.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 11, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 11

Pelicans:
JJ Redick: Out (Heel)

Timberwolves:
Jordan McLaughlin: Out (Health Protocols),
Jarrett Culver: Day To Day (Toe),
D’Angelo Russell: Out (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pelicans (-8.5)
Total Pick Under (239.5)
Prediction Pelicans 119, Timberwolves 108

The model projects the Pelicans to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (10.9 to 8.5).

The model projects a total (227.9 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (239.5 points). Take the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zion Williamson 34 25.6 7.2 3.4 0.9 0.7 0.2
Brandon Ingram 36 23.9 5.1 4.8 0.7 0.8 2.4
Lonzo Ball 33 14.5 4.2 5.1 1.3 0.5 3.0
Eric Bledsoe 35 12.6 3.5 3.8 0.8 0.3 2.0
Josh Hart 36 9.2 7.4 2.1 0.8 0.3 1.4

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 16 22.0 10.9 3.9 0.9 1.7 1.9
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 36 14.9 4.0 2.5 0.9 0.4 1.9
Naz Reid 34 11.9 4.8 1.3 0.6 1.2 0.9
Jaylen Nowell 22 9.0 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.1

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Pelicans have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% higher than the 47.9% of shots the Timberwolves’ opponents have made.
  • In games New Orleans shoots higher than 47.9% from the field, it is 11-10 against the spread and 11-10 overall.
  • Minnesota is 8-7-2 against the spread and 6-11 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.5% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 43.5% clip from the field this season, four percentage points below the 47.5% shooting opponents of the Pelicans have averaged.
  • Minnesota has put together a 1-3-1 record against the spread and a 1-4 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 47.5% from the field.
  • When New Orleans’ opponents shoot over 43.5% from the field, it is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
  • The Pelicans shoot 35.9% from deep, two% lower than the 37.9% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • New Orleans is 10-5 against the spread and 11-4 overall when it shoots better than 37.9% from distance.
  • Minnesota is 11-4 against the spread while putting up a 6-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 35.9% from three-point range.
  • The Timberwolves are knocking down 34.6% of their shots from deep, which is 4.7 percentage points fewer than the 39.3% the Pelicans’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Minnesota is 6-2-2 against the spread and 4-6 overall when shooting above 39.3% as a team from three-point range.
  • New Orleans has a 9-3 ATS record and a 10-2 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 34.6% from three-point range.
  • The Pelicans’ 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.4 fewer made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves allow.
  • Minnesota is 12-9-2 against the spread and 7-16 overall when it hit more threes than its opponents, while New Orleans is 7-19 ATS and 8-19 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Timberwolves make the 18th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Pelicans allow the most makes from beyond the arc.

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Pelicans Rank Pelicans AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
5th 112.4 Points Scored 107.9 24th
26th 115.8 Points Allowed 117 28th
3rd 44.9 Rebounds 43.3 20th
1st 11.4 Off. Rebounds 10.6 9th
23rd 11.2 3pt Made 12.6 18th
12th 24.9 Assists 25.2 14th
12th 12.8 Turnovers 14 22nd

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