The No. 5 seed New Orleans Privateers (9-14) are favored by 5 points in the Southland Tournament against the No. 8 seed SE Louisiana Lions (8-17) on Wednesday at Leonard E. Merrell Center, starting at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The winner takes another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 10, 2021, 1:15 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Privateers (-5)
The DraftKings line for this game has the Privateers favored by five, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (5.9 points).
Pick OU:
Over (148.5)
The DraftKings point total for this game is just 1.2 points lower than the model projection.
Prediction: New Orleans 78, SE Louisiana 72
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Privateers this season is 77.6 points, 0.6 more points than their implied total of 77 points in Wednesday’s game.
- New Orleans has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (77) 10 times.
- The Lions’ average implied point total on the season (76.1 points) is 4.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (72 points).
- SE Louisiana has scored more than 72 points nine times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
New Orleans and SE Louisiana Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Privateers | 9-9-1 | 1-1 | 12-7 |
| Lions | 11-11 | 0-0 | 11-11 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Privateers are shooting 47.2% from the field this season, 0.7 percentage points lower than the 47.9% the Lions allow to opponents.
- In games New Orleans shoots higher than 47.9% from the field, it is 7-2-1 against the spread and 8-4 overall.
- SE Louisiana has a 4-5 record against the spread and a 5-6 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 47.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Lions’ 39.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 6.2 percentage points lower than the Privateers have allowed to their opponents (45.7%).
- SE Louisiana has put together a 3-2 straight up record and a 3-1 record against the spread in games it shoots over 45.7% from the field.
- This season, New Orleans has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 3-2 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 39.5% from the field.
- The Privateers are making 32.2% of their three-point shots this season, 3.5% lower than the 35.7% the Lions allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- New Orleans has a 6-2-1 record against the spread and a 5-4 record overall when the team connects on more than 35.7% of its three-point attempts.
- SE Louisiana has gone 4-4 overall and has a 5-2 record against the spread in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 32.2% from deep.
- The Lions three-point shooting percentage this season (29.8%) is 2.7 percentage points lower than opponents of the Privateers are averaging (32.5%).
- SE Louisiana is 6-2 against the spread and 4-5 overall when it shoots above 32.5% as a team from deep.
- New Orleans has a 3-3 ATS record and a 4-5 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 29.8% from three-point distance.
- The Privateers make 5.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 fewer made shots on average than the 7 per game the Lions allow.
- SE Louisiana is 7-2 against the spread and 5-5 overall when it hit more threes than its opponents, while New Orleans is 3-6-1 ATS and 5-7 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
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