Arizona State vs. Washington State Picks & Best Bets — Pac-12 Tournament 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 10, 2021

The No. 8 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (10-13) are favored by 1 point when they meet the No. 9 seed Washington State Cougars (14-12) in the Pac-12 Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Wednesday at T-Mobile Arena starting at 4:00 PM ET and airing on PACN.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 10, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Cougars (+1)

The model leans slightly toward betting on the Cougars in this one. The data favors them while DraftKings has the Sun Devils favored, but the difference between the two is only 1.1 points.

Pick OU:
Over (144)

DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 0.3 points of each other.

Prediction: Washington State 73, Arizona State 72

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Sun Devils this season is 78.6 points, 5.6 more points than their implied total of 73 points in Wednesday’s game.
  • Arizona State has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (73) 12 times this season.
  • The Cougars’ average implied point total on the season (72.4 points) is 1.4 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (71 points).
  • Washington State has scored more than 71 points 12 times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Arizona State and Washington State Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 1+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Sun Devils 3-18-1 2-10 13-9
Cougars 13-12-1 4-6 14-12

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Sun Devils make 43.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.3 percentage points higher than the Cougars have allowed to their opponents (41.1%).
  • Arizona State is 3-10-1 against the spread and 10-5 overall in games when it collectively shoots higher than 41.1% from the field.
  • Washington State’s record is 8-6 against the spread and 11-3 overall when it allows its opponents to hit more than 43.4% of their shots from the field.
  • The Cougars have shot at a 41.1% rate from the field this season, 4.3 percentage points below the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Sun Devils have averaged.
  • Washington State has put together a 5-2 straight up record and a 5-2 record against the spread in games it shoots better than 45.4% from the field.
  • Arizona State is 1-4 against the spread and 5-1 overall in games its opponents shoot over 41.1% from the field.
  • The Sun Devils’ 33.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Cougars have shot from beyond the arc (31.6%).
  • Arizona State has a 3-9-1 record against the spread and a 5-8 record overall when the team makes more than 31.6% of its attempts from three-point range.
  • Washington State has a 10-6 record against the spread while going 12-4 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 33.7% from downtown.
  • The Cougars shoot 34.3% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only 1.7 percentage points lower than the Sun Devils have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36%).
  • Washington State has a 7-5 ATS record and has gone 7-5 straight-up when hitting more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Arizona State has a 2-6 ATS record and a 5-4 straight-up record in games this season when it knocks down more than 34.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • When Washington State makes more threes than its opponents, it is 9-6-1 against the spread and 9-7 overall. When Arizona State is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 0-10-1 ATS and 5-7 straight up.

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