The No. 6 seed Montana Grizzlies (12-12) and the No. 11 seed Idaho Vandals (1-20) meet in the Big Sky Tournament Wednesday at CenturyLink Arena, starting at 5:00 PM ET. Montana is favored by 14.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 10, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Vandals (+14.5)
The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.4 points of each other.
Pick OU:
Over (131.5)
In this game, the model projects a total (136.9 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (131.5 points).
Prediction: Montana 76, Idaho 61
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Grizzlies’ average implied point total this season is 3.2 fewer points than their implied total in Wednesday’s game (69.8 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
- Montana has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (73) 11 times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Vandals (75) is 16 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (59).
- Idaho has scored more than 59 points 12 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Montana and Idaho Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 14.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | 6-13 | 0-0 | 8-11 |
| Vandals | 7-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Grizzlies make 45.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.7 percentage points lower than the Vandals have allowed to their opponents (47.6%).
- In games Montana shoots better than 47.6% from the field, it is 2-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
- Idaho’s record is 3-4 against the spread and 0-7 overall when it allows its opponents to make more than 45.9% of their shots from the field.
- The Vandals are shooting 42.8% from the field, 0.9% higher than the 41.9% the Grizzlies’ opponents have shot this season.
- Idaho is 1-13 overall and 5-8 against the spread when it shoots higher than 41.9% from the field.
- When opponents of Montana shoot over 42.8% from the field, it is 4-5 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
- The Grizzlies shoot 37% from deep, 1.4% lower than the 38.4% the Vandals allow to opponents.
- Montana has put together a 5-5 straight-up record and a 4-5 record against the spread in games when the team knocks down more than 38.4% of its three-point shots this season.
- Idaho is 4-3 against the spread and 1-7 overall when its opponents hit more than 37% of their shots from deep.
- The Vandals three-point shooting percentage this season (33.9%) is 3.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Grizzlies are averaging (30.6%).
- Idaho is 7-6 against the spread and 1-13 overall when shooting over 30.6% as a team from three-point range.
- Montana has a 6-3 ATS record and a 10-4 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 33.9% from three-point range.
- Idaho has gone 3-0 against the spread and 1-3 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Montana hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 2-9 ATS and 6-7 straight up.
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