Stanford vs. Cal Picks & Best Bets — Pac-12 Tournament 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 10, 2021

The No. 6 seed Stanford Cardinal (14-12) are 6-point favorites in the Pac-12 Tournament when they face off against the No. 11 seed California Golden Bears (8-19) on Wednesday at T-Mobile Arena, beginning at 10:00 PM ET on PACN. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 10, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Cardinal (-6)

The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.1 points of the model. Stay away from this one.

Pick OU:
Over (132)

The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 5.2 points lower than the model projection.

Prediction: Stanford 72, Cal 66

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Cardinal this season is 72.2 points, 3.2 more points than their implied total of 69 points in Wednesday’s game.
  • Stanford has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (69) 15 times this season.
  • The 70.5-point average implied total on the season for the Golden Bears is 7.5 more points than the team’s 63-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Cal has scored more than this game’s implied total of 63 points 15 times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Stanford and Cal Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 6+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Cardinal 10-14-1 3-4 16-9
Golden Bears 12-13 2-1 15-9-1

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Cardinal are shooting 46.7% from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points lower than the 47.1% the Golden Bears allow to opponents.
  • When Stanford shoots better than 47.1% from the field, it is 9-6 against the spread and 11-4 overall.
  • Cal’s record is 6-7 overall and 7-5 against the spread when its opponents make more than 46.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Golden Bears have shot at a 42.8% rate from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points above the 41.2% shooting opponents of the Cardinal have averaged.
  • Cal is 6-8 overall and 7-6 against the spread when it hits more than 41.2% of its shots from the field.
  • This season, Stanford has a 9-7 record against the spread and a 13-4 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot over 42.8% from the field.
  • The Cardinal are making 32.1% of their three-point shots this season, 5.8% lower than the 37.9% the Golden Bears allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Stanford is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall when it shoots better than 37.9% from distance.
  • Cal is 5-4 overall and 5-2 against the spread when its opponents shoot better than 32.1% from deep.
  • The Golden Bears are making 32.4% of their shots from deep, which is just 0.8 percentage points fewer than the 33.2% the Cardinal’s opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Cal is 9-4 against the spread and 5-8 overall when shooting above 33.2% as a team from three-point range.
  • Stanford has a 7-4 straight-up record and a 6-4 ATS record this season when it knocks down more than 32.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Cardinal’s 5.4 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.6 fewer made shots on average than the 7 per game the Golden Bears allow.
  • Cal has gone 9-7 against the spread and 6-11 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Stanford makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 8-10 ATS and 11-7 straight up.

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