Mavericks vs Spurs: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 10, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 10, 2021 - Last Updated on March 16, 2021

The Dallas Mavericks (18-16) are 4-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game home win streak when they take on the San Antonio Spurs (18-14) on Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at American Airlines Center. The game airs at 8:30 PM ET on NBA TV. The matchup has an over/under set at 222 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of March 9, 2021, 9:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Spurs Betting Odds

Click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $500) at William Hill!

Injury Report as of March 10

Mavericks: None

Spurs:
Devin Vassell: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Spurs (+4)
Total Pick Over (222)
Prediction Mavericks 113, Spurs 110

The line for this game set by William Hill and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.2 points of each other).

The William Hill total for this game, 222 points, and the model’s projected total, 223.0 points, are only 1.0 point apart.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 32 28.6 8.4 9.0 1.0 0.7 2.7
Kristaps Porzingis 20 20.2 8.4 1.4 0.4 1.6 2.2
Tim Hardaway Jr. 33 16.4 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 2.9
Josh Richardson 25 12.8 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 1.5
Jalen Brunson 30 12.7 3.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 1.3

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 29 20.0 4.9 7.2 0.9 0.3 0.6
Dejounte Murray 32 15.8 7.0 5.4 1.6 0.1 1.1
Keldon Johnson 29 14.1 6.7 2.2 0.8 0.5 1.0
LaMarcus Aldridge 21 13.7 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.9 1.3
Patty Mills 32 13.3 1.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 2.8

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Mavericks have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is the same percentage of shots the Spurs’ opponents have hit.
  • Dallas has a 9-7 record against the spread and a 12-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.5% from the field.
  • San Antonio’s record is 13-5 against the spread and 12-6 overall when its opponents make more than 46.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Spurs’ 45.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Mavericks have given up to their opponents.
  • San Antonio is 11-3 against the spread and 11-3 overall when it shoots higher than 46.3% from the field.
  • When Dallas’ opponents shoot over 45.6% from the field, it is 11-3 against the spread and 11-3 overall.
  • The Mavericks are hitting 35% of their three-point shots this season, 3.3% lower than the 38.3% the Spurs allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Dallas is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall when it shoots better than 38.3% from distance.
  • San Antonio is 9-2 against the spread and 8-3 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 35% from deep.
  • The Spurs’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.3%) is 0.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Mavericks are averaging (36.8%).
  • San Antonio is 11-4-1 ATS and 11-5 overall when the team hits more than 36.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 10-3 ATS record and an 11-2 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.3% from three-point distance.
  • The Mavericks connect on 13.1 three-pointers per game this season, two more made shots on average than the 11.1 per game the Spurs give up.
  • Dallas is 10-3 against the spread and 11-2 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while San Antonio is 8-13-1 ATS and 9-13 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Spurs are the 25th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Mavericks allow the 22nd-fewest makes from deep.

Mavericks vs Spurs Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Spurs AVG Spurs Rank
18th 111.8 Points Scored 111 22nd
18th 112.3 Points Allowed 110.9 10th
25th 42.9 Rebounds 45 15th
26th 8.4 Off. Rebounds 9.1 21st
12th 13.1 3pt Made 11.1 25th
26th 22.6 Assists 25.2 13th
3rd 11.6 Turnovers 10.7 1st

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy