Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL): College Basketball Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – March 9, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 9, 2021

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (8-16) visit the Pittsburgh Panthers (10-11) as 3.5-point underdogs after Kameron McGusty went off for 27 points in the Hurricanes 80-76 victory over Boston College. The game airs on ACCN at 2:00 PM ET on Tuesday, March 9, 2021. The matchup’s over/under is 136.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 9, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Panthers (-3.5)

The model projects the Panthers to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (5.1 to 3.5).

Pick OU:
Over (136.5)

In this game, the model projects a total (139.0 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (136.5 points).

Prediction: Pittsburgh 72, Miami (FL) 67

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Panthers have an average implied point total of 73.2 this season, which is 3.2 points higher than their implied total in Tuesday’s game (70).
  • Pittsburgh has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (70) 12 times.
  • The Hurricanes’ average implied point total on the season (72.3 points) is 5.3 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (67 points).
  • Miami (FL) has put up more than 67 points nine times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Pittsburgh and Miami (FL) Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Panthers 11-10 4-4 11-10
Hurricanes 11-12 1-3 10-13

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • This season, the Panthers have a 43.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.5% lower than the 44.6% of shots the Hurricanes’ opponents have hit.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 7-3 overall and 6-4 against the spread when it shoots better than 44.6% from the field.
  • Miami (FL) is 5-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 43.1% from the field.
  • The Hurricanes are shooting 41.9% from the field, 1.6% lower than the 43.5% the Panthers’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Miami (FL) is 6-2 against the spread and 5-4 overall when it shoots higher than 43.5% from the field.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has a 10-0 record against the spread and a 9-1 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 41.9% from the field.
  • The Panthers shoot 33.4% from three-point range, 3.6% lower than the 37% the Hurricanes allow to opponents.
  • Pittsburgh has a 4-4 record against the spread and a 4-4 record overall when the team makes more than 37% of its attempts from three-point range.
  • Miami (FL) is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when its opponents shoot better than 33.4% from deep.
  • The Hurricanes shoot 29.3% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 3.1 percentage points lower than the Panthers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (32.4%).
  • Miami (FL) has a 6-3 ATS record and has gone 4-6 straight-up when hitting more than 32.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Pittsburgh has a 5-4 ATS record and a 6-3 straight-up record this season in games it has shot better than 29.3% from three-point distance.
  • The Panthers are 3-4 against the spread and 4-3 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Hurricanes are 8-11 ATS and 6-14 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.

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