Duke vs Boston College: College Basketball Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – March 9, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 9, 2021

The Duke Blue Devils (11-11) are big, 12.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Boston College Eagles (4-15) on Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at Greensboro Coliseum. The matchup airs at 4:30 PM ET on ACCN. The matchup has a point total of 152.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 9, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Eagles (+12.5)

The Blue Devils are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (12.5 to 9.3 points). Take the Eagles and the points.

Pick OU:
Under (152.5)

The model predicts a total 2.3 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Prediction: Duke 80, Boston College 70

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Blue Devils this season is 75.8 points, 7.2 fewer points than their implied total of 83 points in Tuesday’s game.
  • Duke will try to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (83) for the fifth time this season.
  • The Eagles’ average implied point total on the season (76.9 points) is 6.9 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (70 points).
  • Boston College has put up more than 70 points in 10 games on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Duke and Boston College Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 12.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Blue Devils 7-14 0-2 15-6
Eagles 8-10 0-1 12-6

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Blue Devils are shooting 46.7% from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points lower than the 49.2% the Eagles allow to opponents.
  • In games when Duke shoots better than 49.2% from the field, it is 8-2 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
  • Boston College’s record is 4-4 against the spread and 2-6 overall when it allows its opponents to hit more than 46.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Eagles are shooting 42.5% from the field, 4.1% lower than the 46.6% the Blue Devils’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Boston College has put together a 5-2 record against the spread and a 3-4 record overall in games when it shoots higher than 46.6% from the field.
  • Duke is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot over 42.5% from the field.
  • The Blue Devils shoot 34.3% from beyond the arc, 0.1% higher than the 34.2% the Eagles allow to opponents.
  • Duke has collected a 5-3 record against the spread and a 7-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team connects on more than 34.2% of its three-point shots.
  • Boston College is 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall when its opponents hit more than 34.3% of their shots from deep.
  • The Eagles’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.2%) is only 2.7 percentage points lower than opponents of the Blue Devils are averaging (36.9%).
  • Boston College has a 4-2 ATS record and is 2-4 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Duke has an 8-3 straight-up record and a 5-5 ATS record when it has shot better than 34.2% from three-point distance.
  • The Blue Devils hit 8.2 three-pointers per game this season, 1.3 fewer makes per game than the Eagles give up (9.5).
  • Boston College is 7-6 against the spread and 4-10 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while Duke is 2-6 ATS and 4-4 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.

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