The Long Beach State Beach (5-11) are 2-point underdogs as they try to break a four-game losing streak when they visit the CSU Northridge Matadors (9-12) on Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at Mandalay Bay Event Center. The contest airs at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN3. The matchup has a point total of 153.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 9, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model projects the Matadors to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (2.6 to 2).
The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 2.8 points higher than the model projection.
Prediction: CSU Northridge 76, Long Beach State 74
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Matadors’ average implied point total this season is one fewer point than their implied total in Tuesday’s game (77 implied points on average compared to 78 implied points in this game).
- CSU Northridge has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (78) six times this season.
- The Beach’s average implied point total on the season (77.3 points) is 1.3 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (76 points).
- Long Beach State has scored more than 76 points seven times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
CSU Northridge and Long Beach State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 2+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Matadors are shooting 43.1% from the field this season, 0.4 percentage points lower than the 43.5% the Beach allow to opponents.
- CSU Northridge is 6-3-1 against the spread and 8-4 overall when it shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
- Long Beach State’s record is 5-5 overall and 7-3 against the spread when its opponents make more than 43.1% of their shots from the field.
- The Beach have shot at a 43.8% clip from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points less than the 46.5% shooting opponents of the Matadors have averaged.
- This season, Long Beach State has compiled a 5-2 record against the spread and a 4-4 record overall in games the team shoots over 46.5% collectively from the field.
- CSU Northridge is 5-3 overall and 6-1 against the spread in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.8% from the field.
- The Matadors are knocking down 35% of their three-point shots this season, 0.8% lower than the 35.8% the Beach allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- CSU Northridge has put together a 6-5 straight-up record and a 5-3-1 record against the spread in games when the team makes more than 35.8% of its three-point shots this season.
- Long Beach State has put together a 3-6 straight-up record and gone 5-3 against the spread in games when its opponents shoot above 35% from three-point range.
- The Beach are hitting 34.6% of their shots from three-point range, which is just 1.1 percentage points fewer than the 35.7% the Matadors’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Long Beach State has a 3-2 ATS record and is 2-4 straight-up when the team hits more than 35.7% of its three-point attempts.
- CSU Northridge has a 5-4 straight-up record and a 7-1 ATS record when it has shot better than 34.6% from three-point range.
- The Matadors knock down 7.9 three-pointers per game this season, 1.1 more made shots on average than the 6.8 per game the Beach give up.
- The Matadors are 6-1 against the spread and 4-4 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Beach are 4-4 ATS and 3-6 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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