The No. 5 Iowa Hawkeyes (19-7) are favored (by 6 points) to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the No. 25 Wisconsin Badgers (16-10) on Sunday, March 7, 2021 at 12:30 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 143.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 7, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Hawkeyes (-6)
The DraftKings line for this game has the Hawkeyes favored by six, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.0 points).
Pick OU:
Over (143.5)
In this matchup, the model projects a total (145.4 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (143.5 points).
Prediction: Iowa 77, Wisconsin 69
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Hawkeyes’ average implied point total this season is eight more points than their implied total in Sunday’s game (83 implied points on average compared to 75 implied points in this game).
- Iowa has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (75) 20 times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Badgers (69.1) is 0.1 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (69).
- Wisconsin has scored more than 69 points 13 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Iowa and Wisconsin Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 6+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawkeyes | 13-10 | 8-5 | 12-11 |
| Badgers | 11-14 | 8-6 | 12-12 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Hawkeyes are shooting 47.2% from the field this season, 5.5 percentage points higher than the 41.7% the Badgers allow to opponents.
- Iowa has a 13-6 record against the spread and a 19-3 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 41.7% from the field.
- Wisconsin’s record is 10-6 against the spread and 14-3 overall when its opponents make more than 47.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Badgers’ 41.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Hawkeyes have given up to their opponents (41.1%).
- Wisconsin has compiled a 10-3 straight up record and a 7-6 record against the spread in games it shoots above 41.1% from the field.
- Iowa is 6-4 against the spread and 10-1 straight up in games when allowing opponents to shoot above 41.7% from the field.
- The Hawkeyes’ 39.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is 5.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Badgers have shot from beyond the arc (34%).
- Iowa is 17-3 overall and 12-5 against the spread when it shoots better than 34% from distance.
- Wisconsin has put up a 14-6 straight-up record and gone 10-9 against the spread in games when its opponents shoot above 39.8% from three-point range.
- The Badgers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (35.1%) is only 0.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Hawkeyes are averaging (34.8%).
- Wisconsin has an 8-4 ATS record and has gone 10-2 straight-up when hitting more than 34.8% of its three-point attempts.
- Iowa is 9-3 ATS and 13-1 overall in games it shoots over 35.1% from deep.
- The Hawkeyes hit 10.2 three-pointers per game this season, 1.7 more makes per game than the Badgers allow (8.5).
- Iowa is 9-3 against the spread and 12-2 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Wisconsin is 1-3 ATS and 1-3 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
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