Warriors vs Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 3, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 3, 2021 - Last Updated on March 6, 2021

Pacific Division opponents meet when the Golden State Warriors (19-16) visit the Portland Trail Blazers (19-14) at Moda Center, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The Trail Blazers are 1-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has a point total of 235.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of March 3, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Warriors vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 3

Draymond Green: Day To Day (Ankle),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Trail Blazers:
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Wrist),
CJ McCollum: Out (Left foot),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle),
Harry Giles III: Day To Day (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Trail Blazers (+1)
Total Pick Under (235.5)
Prediction Trail Blazers 115, Warriors 113

While FanDuel has the Warriors winning by one, the model has the Trail Blazers taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (3.2 points). Take the Trail Blazers.

The model predicts a total (228.2 points) much lower than the one set by FanDuel for this matchup (235.5 points). Take the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Warriors Key Players

Stephen Curry 34 29.5 5.4 6.4 1.3 0.1 4.8
Andrew Wiggins 35 17.1 4.5 2.1 0.8 1.1 1.8
Kelly Oubre Jr. 35 15.5 5.9 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.7
James Wiseman 24 12.0 5.8 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.4
Eric Paschall 32 10.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.4

Warriors Player Props

  • Draymond Green’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is listed at 5.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds lower than his season average of 6.0.
  • Stephen Curry’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 2.0 points less than his season average of 29.5.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 4.8.
  • James Wiseman’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Damian Lillard 32 29.6 4.3 8.1 1.0 0.3 4.2
CJ McCollum 13 26.7 3.9 5.0 1.3 0.3 4.8
Gary Trent Jr. 31 15.5 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 3.2
Carmelo Anthony 32 13.6 3.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.8
Enes Kanter 33 11.6 11.5 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Damian Lillard’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 8.5 assists, 0.4 assists greater than his season average of 8.1.
  • Enes Kanter’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 19.5, 4.8 less than his season average of 24.3.
  • CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 2.3 shots less than his season average of 4.8.
  • Robert Covington’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • The Warriors make 46.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is one percentage point lower than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (47.5%).
  • In games Golden State shoots higher than 47.5% from the field, it is 13-1 against the spread and 12-2 overall.
  • Portland has a 9-5 record against the spread and a 9-5 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 46.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers are shooting 44.5% from the field, -0.3% lower than the 44.2% the Warriors’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Portland is 11-4 against the spread and 13-2 overall when it shoots higher than 44.2% from the field.
  • Golden State is 12-5 against the spread and 13-4 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44.5% from the field.
  • The Warriors’ 36.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Trail Blazers have shot from beyond the arc (36.9%).
  • Golden State is 13-5 against the spread and 14-4 overall when it shoots better than 36.9% from distance.
  • Portland has put up an 11-4 against the spread while going 11-4 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 36.8% from deep.
  • The Trail Blazers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (38.5%) is just 1.2 percentage points higher than opponents of the Warriors are averaging (37.3%).
  • Portland is 14-2 ATS and 14-2 overall when the team makes more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Golden State has a 13-7 ATS record and a 13-7 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.5% from three-point range.
  • The Warriors’ 13.9 made three-pointers per game this season is 2.4 fewer made shots on average than the 16.3 per game the Trail Blazers allow.
  • Portland has gone 16-8 against the spread and 17-7 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Golden State makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 4-9 ATS and 3-10 straight up.
  • The Warriors make the seventh-most three-pointers in the league, while the Trail Blazers give up the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Warriors vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Warriors Rank Warriors AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
12th 114 Points Scored 114.4 9th
21st 112.8 Points Allowed 115.1 25th
23rd 43.1 Rebounds 44.3 16th
28th 7.8 Off. Rebounds 10.7 7th
7th 13.9 3pt Made 16.3 2nd
1st 28 Assists 20.1 30th
24th 14.6 Turnovers 11.4 2nd

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