Nuggets vs Bulls: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 1, 2021 - Last Updated on March 5, 2021

Zach LaVine and the Chicago Bulls (15-17) are 4.5-point underdogs against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (18-15) Monday, March 1, 2021 at United Center. The matchup begins at 8:00 PM ET on NBCS-CHI. The point total is set at 226 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 1, 2021, 12:07 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Bulls Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 1

Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Out (Adductor),
JaMychal Green: Out (Shoulder),
R.J. Hampton: Out (Health and safety protocols),
Markus Howard: Out (Health and safety protocols),
Paul Millsap: Out (Knee)

Bulls:
Otto Porter Jr.: Out (Back),
Chandler Hutchison: Out (Personal),
Lauri Markkanen: Out (Shoulder)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bulls (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (226)
Prediction Nuggets 115, Bulls 113

The model favors the Nuggets by 2.3 points, just 2.2 fewer than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

The model predicts a total 2.1 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 33 26.7 11.0 8.5 1.6 0.7 1.6
Jamal Murray 31 21.6 4.4 4.6 1.1 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 23 14.3 6.5 1.0 0.9 1.1 2.3
Will Barton 30 11.3 3.8 3.1 0.8 0.4 1.5
Monte Morris 32 10.8 2.3 3.4 0.7 0.3 1.2

Nuggets Player Props

  • Jokic’s points prop total for the contest is set at 23.5, 3.2 points lower than his season average of 26.7.
  • Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Michael Porter Jr.’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Bulls Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zach LaVine 32 28.7 5.2 5.0 1.1 0.4 3.6
Lauri Markkanen 14 19.1 6.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 2.9
Coby White 32 15.8 5.0 5.2 0.3 0.2 2.3
Wendell Carter Jr. 21 12.7 7.7 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.3
Thaddeus Young 28 11.9 5.9 4.4 1.3 0.5 0.2

Bulls Player Props

  • LaVine’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 1.2 points lower than his season average of 28.7.
  • Coby White’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 26.5, 0.5 greater than his season average of 26.0.
  • LaVine’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots lower than his season average of 3.6.
  • Thaddeus Young’s steals prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 0.8 steals less than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is one percentage point higher than the Bulls have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
  • Denver has a 9-8 record against the spread and an 11-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
  • Chicago has an 11-4 record against the spread and an 11-5 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Bulls are shooting 48.6% from the field, 1.4% higher than the 47.2% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Chicago has compiled a 13-5 record against the spread and a 10-9 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 47.2% from the field.
  • Denver is 11-9 against the spread and 15-5 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 48.6% from the field.
  • The Nuggets shoot 38.7% from three-point range, 3.4% higher than the 35.3% the Bulls allow to opponents.
  • Denver has put together a 10-12 record against the spread and a 12-10 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 35.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Chicago is 14-6 against the spread while putting together a 13-8 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 38.7% from three-point distance.
  • The Bulls’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.9%) is two percentage points higher than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (35.9%).
  • Chicago is 13-6 ATS and 10-9 overall when the team hits more than 35.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver has a 10-10 ATS record and a 14-6 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 37.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets connect on 13.5 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.4 more made shots on average than the 13.1 per game the Bulls give up.
  • When Denver makes more threes than its opponents, it is 8-6 against the spread and 9-5 overall. When Chicago is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 6-5 ATS and 3-8 straight up.
  • The Bulls make the 13th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nuggets give up the 15th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Bulls Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Bulls AVG Bulls Rank
4th 115.5 Points Scored 114.7 8th
10th 111.2 Points Allowed 114.8 24th
18th 43.6 Rebounds 44.3 14th
16th 10.2 Off. Rebounds 8.7 23rd
9th 13.5 3pt Made 13.1 13th
7th 26.4 Assists 26.2 8th
7th 12.8 Turnovers 15.5 30th

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