Jazz vs Pelicans: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 1, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on March 1, 2021 - Last Updated on March 5, 2021

Donovan Mitchell and the Utah Jazz (27-7) are 6.5-point favorites against Zion Williamson and the New Orleans Pelicans (14-19) Monday, March 1, 2021 at Smoothie King Center. The matchup tips off at 8:00 PM ET on NBA TV. The point total in the matchup is set at 235.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of March 1, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Jazz vs Pelicans Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of March 1

Jazz:
Udoka Azubuike: Out (Ankle)

Pelicans:
JJ Redick: Day To Day (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Jazz (-6.5)
Total Pick Under (235.5)
Prediction Jazz 117, Pelicans 109

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Jazz to walk away with the win, but the model spread (7.9) is 1.4 points further in their direction.

The model projects a total (226.6 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game (235.5 points). Take the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Jazz Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Donovan Mitchell 32 24.5 4.6 5.3 1.0 0.3 3.3
Jordan Clarkson 34 18.1 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 3.2
Mike Conley 27 16.2 3.6 5.7 1.5 0.1 2.8
Bojan Bogdanovic 34 15.2 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 2.6
Rudy Gobert 34 14.0 13.4 1.3 0.4 2.7 0.0

Jazz Player Props

  • Mitchell’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 25.5, 1.0 point greater than his season average of 24.5.
  • Rudy Gobert’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 27.5, 1.2 lower than his season average of 28.7.
  • Mitchell’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Mike Conley’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zion Williamson 32 25.5 7.1 3.3 0.9 0.7 0.2
Brandon Ingram 33 24.2 5.2 4.7 0.7 0.8 2.5
Lonzo Ball 30 14.5 4.2 5.1 1.3 0.5 3.1
Eric Bledsoe 32 12.8 3.5 3.6 0.8 0.3 2.1
Josh Hart 33 8.8 7.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.4

Pelicans Player Props

  • Williamson’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 32.5, 3.4 lower than his season average of 35.9.
  • Steven Adams’ rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 8.5 rebounds, 0.6 rebounds less than his season average of 9.1.
  • Lonzo Ball’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 3.1.
  • Brandon Ingram’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 0.8.

Shooting Trends

  • The Jazz make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.5 percentage points lower than the Pelicans have allowed to their opponents (47.4%).
  • Utah has a 14-2 record against the spread and a 15-1 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.4% from the field.
  • New Orleans’ record is 10-5 against the spread and 11-4 overall when its opponents make more than 46.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pelicans have shot at a 48.3% rate from the field this season, 3.9 percentage points greater than the 44.4% shooting opponents of the Jazz have averaged.
  • This season, New Orleans has a 13-13 record against the spread and a 12-15 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 44.4% from the field.
  • When Utah’s opponents shoot higher than 48.3% from the field, it is 23-3-1 against the spread and 25-2 overall.
  • The Jazz are making 39.6% of their three-point shots this season, 0.2% higher than the 39.4% the Pelicans allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Utah is 14-1 against the spread and 14-1 overall when it shoots better than 39.4% from distance.
  • New Orleans is 11-6 against the spread and 13-4 overall when its opponents shoot better than 39.6% from deep.
  • The Pelicans shoot 36.3% from three-point distance this season. That’s -1.1 percentage points lower than the Jazz have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (35.2%).
  • New Orleans has a 12-6 ATS record and is 12-6 straight-up when the team makes more than 35.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Utah has a 17-1-1 ATS record and an 18-1 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.3% from three-point range.
  • The Jazz hit 16.9 three-pointers per game this season, 5.5 more made shots on average than the 11.4 per game the Pelicans allow.
  • Utah has gone 24-4-1 against the spread and 25-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When New Orleans makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 6-18 ATS and 7-18 straight up.
  • The Jazz rank first in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Pelicans allow the most made threes in the league.

Jazz vs Pelicans Stat Rankings

Jazz Rank Jazz AVG Pelicans AVG Pelicans Rank
3rd 116.2 Points Scored 112.1 5th
3rd 106.5 Points Allowed 115.5 26th
1st 48.2 Rebounds 45 3rd
4th 11.1 Off. Rebounds 11.5 1st
1st 16.9 3pt Made 11.4 22nd
20th 23.9 Assists 24.6 12th
18th 13.8 Turnovers 12.9 13th

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