Bucks vs Clippers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 28, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 28, 2021 - Last Updated on March 4, 2021

A game after he scored 30 points in an 119-99 win over the Grizzlies, Kawhi Leonard leads the Los Angeles Clippers (24-11) on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks (20-13) on Sunday, February 28, 2021. The Clippers are underdogs by 1.5 points in the matchup, which airs at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The over/under in the matchup is set at 236.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 28, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Clippers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 28

D.J. Augustin: Day To Day (Personal),
Jordan Nwora: Day To Day (Ankle),
Jaylen Adams: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jrue Holiday: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols)

Patrick Patterson: Out (Personal)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (-1.5)
Total Pick Under (236)
Prediction Bucks 115, Clippers 113

The model projects the Bucks to win, just as FanDuel does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (2.1 to 1.5).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (228.5 points) substantially lower than the FanDuel over/under (236 points). Bet on the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Giannis Antetokounmpo 32 28.9 11.7 5.9 1.2 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 33 20.6 6.1 5.7 1.1 0.2 2.3
Jrue Holiday 23 16.4 4.8 5.4 1.9 0.6 1.9
Bobby Portis 33 11.3 7.3 1.1 0.8 0.5 1.1
Brook Lopez 33 10.7 5.1 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.5

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 45.5, 1.1 less than his season average of 46.6.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 2.3.
  • Brook Lopez’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.

Clippers Key Players

Kawhi Leonard 28 26.9 6.2 5.0 1.5 0.6 2.0
Paul George 25 23.7 6.1 5.4 1.2 0.5 3.5
Marcus Morris 26 12.5 3.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.3
Lou Williams 32 12.4 2.4 3.7 0.9 0.1 1.1
Serge Ibaka 34 11.4 6.7 1.8 0.2 1.2 1.0

Clippers Player Props

  • Leonard’s PRA prop over/under for the matchup is posted at 36.5, 1.6 less than his season average of 38.1.
  • Paul George’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 33.5, 1.7 less than his season average of 35.2.
  • George’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
  • Serge Ibaka’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.7 blocks lower than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks are shooting 48.9% from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points higher than the 46.8% the Clippers allow to opponents.
  • Milwaukee has a 13-9 record against the spread and a 16-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.8% from the field.
  • Los Angeles has a 17-11 record against the spread and a 20-8 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Clippers are shooting 48.7% from the field, 3.2% higher than the 45.5% the Bucks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Los Angeles has compiled an 18-8 record against the spread and a 21-5 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 45.5% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot higher than 48.7% from the field, it is 15-9 against the spread and 18-6 overall.
  • The Bucks are knocking down 39.6% of their three-point shots this season, 3.7% higher than the 35.9% the Clippers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Milwaukee is 12-11 against the spread and 16-7 overall when it shoots better than 35.9% from distance.
  • Los Angeles is 17-9 against the spread while putting together a 20-6 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 39.6% from downtown.
  • The Clippers shoot 42% from beyond the arc this season. That’s four percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (38%).
  • Los Angeles has a 15-9 ATS record and is 18-6 straight-up when the team hits more than 38% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 16-8 ATS record and a 19-5 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 42% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Bucks’ 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.5 more made shots on average than the 14.3 per game the Clippers give up.
  • Milwaukee has gone 11-4 against the spread and 13-2 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Los Angeles makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 2-9 ATS and 3-8 straight up.
  • The Bucks make the fifth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Clippers give up the fifth-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Bucks vs Clippers Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Clippers AVG Clippers Rank
2nd 120.2 Points Scored 115.3 6th
18th 112.5 Points Allowed 109.1 5th
2nd 48.3 Rebounds 44.3 25th
10th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 9.3 19th
5th 14.8 3pt Made 14.3 6th
8th 26.2 Assists 24.5 18th
10th 13 Turnovers 12.6 6th

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