A game after he put up 30 points in a 74-60 loss to Morehead State, Mark Freeman leads the Tennessee State Tigers (4-18) on the road against the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (19-6) as 13.5-point underdogs. The matchup, which airs at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 27, 2021, airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 27, 2021, 2:22 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model projects the Colonels to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (16.2 to 13.5).
In this game, the model projects a total (148.3 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (151.5 points).
Prediction: Eastern Kentucky 82, Tennessee State 66
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Colonels’ average implied point total this season is 3.6 fewer points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (79.4 implied points on average compared to 83 implied points in this game).
- Eastern Kentucky has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (83) 11 times.
- The Tigers’ average implied point total on the season (72.5 points) is 3.5 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (69 points).
- Tennessee State is aiming to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (69) for the eighth time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Eastern Kentucky and Tennessee State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 13.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|Eastern Kentucky||Tennessee State|
|2/22/2021||Southeast Missouri State||Win||87-65||2/20/2021||Jacksonville State||Loss||77-76|
|2/20/2021||Southeast Missouri State||Loss||94-72||2/18/2021||Tennessee Tech||Win||91-86|
|2/18/2021||UT Martin||Win||89-72||2/13/2021||Eastern Kentucky||Loss||93-73|
|2/15/2021||Tennessee Tech||Win||83-72||2/11/2021||Morehead State||Loss||79-66|
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