The No. 10 West Virginia Mountaineers (16-6) host the Kansas State Wildcats (7-17) in a matchup of Big 12 teams at WVU Coliseum, beginning at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 27, 2021. The Wildcats are 14.5-point underdogs in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 27, 2021, 2:20 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Mountaineers winning by a considerably more robust margin (17.8 points). Take the Mountaineers.
In this game, the model projects a total (141.4 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (139.5 points).
Prediction: West Virginia 80, Kansas State 62
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Mountaineers’ average implied point total this season is 1.8 fewer points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (75.2 implied points on average compared to 77 implied points in this game).
- West Virginia has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (77) 12 times this season.
- The 72.2-point average implied total on the season for the Wildcats is 9.2 more points than the team’s 63-point implied total in this matchup.
- Kansas State has scored more than 63 points in eight games this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
West Virginia and Kansas State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 14.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Mountaineers are shooting 43.2% from the field this season, three percentage points lower than the 46.2% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- West Virginia has put together a 4-0 record against the spread and a 4-0 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.2% from the field.
- Kansas State has a 4-3 record against the spread and a 5-2 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 43.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Wildcats are shooting 41.4% from the field, 3.1% lower than the 44.5% the Mountaineers’ opponents have shot this season.
- Kansas State has compiled a 3-6 straight up record and a 4-5 record against the spread in games it shoots higher than 44.5% from the field.
- When West Virginia’s opponents hit better than 41.4% from the field, it is 4-2 against the spread and 6-0 overall.
- The Mountaineers are hitting 36.8% of their three-point shots this season, 0.6% lower than the 37.4% the Wildcats allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- West Virginia has a 9-1 record against the spread and a 9-1 record overall when the team connects on more than 37.4% of its three-point shots.
- Kansas State is 6-6 against the spread while putting up a 4-8 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 36.8% from beyond the arc.
- The Wildcats are knocking down 30.2% of their shots from deep, which is 2.9 percentage points fewer than the 33.1% the Mountaineers’ are averaging on the season.
- Kansas State is 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall when shooting above 33.1% as a team from three-point range.
- West Virginia has an 8-2 straight-up record and an 8-2 ATS record this season when it connects on more than 30.2% of its three-point attempts.
- The Mountaineers are 9-3 against the spread and 9-3 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Wildcats are 5-8 ATS and 2-11 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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