Heat vs Raptors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 24, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 24, 2021 - Last Updated on February 27, 2021

The Miami Heat (14-17) are favored (-2) to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Toronto Raptors (16-16) at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 24, 2021 at American Airlines Arena. The contest airs on SUN. The over/under is set at 215.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 24, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Raptors Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 24

Heat:
Tyler Herro: Day To Day (Hip),
Avery Bradley: Out (Calf),
Goran Dragic: Day To Day (Ankle),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Chris Silva: Out (Hip),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder)

Raptors:
Kyle Lowry: Out (Thumb)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Raptors (+2)
Total Pick Over (215.5)
Prediction Heat 111, Raptors 110

The model favors the Heat by 0.3 points, just 1.7 fewer than the 2-point spread set by DraftKings.

The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.3 points lower than the model projection.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Bam Adebayo 29 19.6 9.5 5.5 0.9 1.0 0.1
Jimmy Butler 19 19.1 7.6 7.6 1.8 0.4 0.2
Tyler Herro 22 16.9 6.1 3.8 0.5 0.5 2.0
Kendrick Nunn 23 14.6 3.3 2.6 1.2 0.3 2.2
Goran Dragic 17 14.4 3.1 5.3 0.5 0.1 1.6

Heat Player Props

  • Bam Adebayo’s points prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 1.9 points higher than his season average of 19.6.
  • Jimmy Butler’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 36.5, 2.1 higher than his season average of 34.4.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 1.2 shots higher than his season average of 3.3.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks higher than his season average of 1.0.

Raptors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Pascal Siakam 29 20.6 7.7 4.8 1.2 0.7 1.2
Fred VanVleet 32 19.8 4.5 6.7 1.7 0.8 3.3
Kyle Lowry 25 17.7 5.4 6.4 1.2 0.2 2.8
Norman Powell 30 17.3 3.0 1.7 1.2 0.1 2.4
OG Anunoby 21 13.9 5.9 1.5 1.8 0.7 2.2

Raptors Player Props

  • Pascal Siakam’s PRA prop over/under for the matchup is posted at 31.5, 1.5 lower than his season average of 33.0.
  • Fred VanVleet’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 1.5 less than his season average of 31.0.
  • VanVleet’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • OG Anunoby’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals lower than his season average of 1.8.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Heat have a 46.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% higher than the 45.2% of shots the Raptors’ opponents have hit.
  • In games Miami shoots better than 45.2% from the field, it is 9-10 against the spread and 10-9 overall.
  • Toronto’s record is 12-7 against the spread and 12-7 overall when its opponents make more than 46.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Raptors are shooting 45.1% from the field, 0.3% higher than the 44.8% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Toronto has a 12-5 record against the spread and a 12-5 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 44.8% from the field.
  • When Miami’s opponents shoot above 45.1% from the field, it is 9-7 against the spread and 11-5 overall.
  • The Heat’s 35.1% three-point shooting percentage this season is two percentage points lower than opponents of the Raptors have shot from deep (37.1%).
  • Miami is 7-6 against the spread and 10-3 overall when it shoots better than 37.1% from distance.
  • Toronto is 10-2 against the spread while putting together a 9-3 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 35.1% from downtown.
  • The Raptors shoot 38.1% from beyond the arc this season. That’s just 1.3 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.8%).
  • Toronto has a 10-7 ATS record and is 11-6 straight-up when the team hits more than 36.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 10-11 ATS record and a 13-8 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 38.1% of its three-point shots.
  • The Heat’s 12.9 made three-pointers per game this season is 2.3 fewer made shots on average than the 15.2 per game the Raptors allow.
  • Toronto has gone 13-6 against the spread and 14-5 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Miami hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 5-14 ATS and 6-13 straight up.
  • The Heat are the 15th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Raptors give up the 26th-fewest makes from deep.

Heat vs Raptors Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Raptors AVG Raptors Rank
26th 106.9 Points Scored 112.7 16th
6th 109.4 Points Allowed 110.2 9th
27th 42.6 Rebounds 41.9 28th
30th 7.4 Off. Rebounds 9.5 20th
15th 12.9 3pt Made 15.2 3rd
10th 26 Assists 24.8 17th
30th 15.5 Turnovers 13 10th

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