The Michigan State Spartans (11-9) and the No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (16-5) hit the court in a matchup with no set line at Breslin Center on Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET on FS1. The matchup’s over/under is 144.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 23, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:

Pick OU:
Over (144)

The model projects a total 2.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Prediction: Illinois 77, Michigan State 69

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Michigan State and Illinois Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against + Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Spartans 4-13 0-0 8-9
Fighting Illini 12-7-1 0-0 11-9

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Spartans make 42.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.8 percentage points higher than the Fighting Illini have allowed to their opponents (40.7%).
  • Michigan State is 10-2 overall and 3-7 against the spread when it shoots better than 40.7% from the field.
  • Illinois is 13-1 overall and 10-3-1 against the spread when allowing its opponents to shoot higher than 42.5% from the field.
  • The Fighting Illini have shot at a 50.7% clip from the field this season, eight percentage points above the 42.7% shooting opponents of the Spartans have averaged.
  • Illinois has compiled an 11-6-1 record against the spread and a 15-4 straight up record in games it shoots above 42.7% from the field.
  • When Michigan State’s opponents hit better than 50.7% from the field, it is 4-11 against the spread and 11-7 overall.
  • The Spartans are hitting 33.3% of their three-point shots this season, 0.1% lower than the 33.4% the Fighting Illini allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Michigan State has a 2-5 record against the spread and a 5-3 record overall when the team makes more than 33.4% of its shots from three-point range.
  • Illinois has put up a 7-2 against the spread while going 8-1 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 33.3% from downtown.
  • The Fighting Illini shoot 39.4% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 7.8 percentage points higher than the Spartans have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (31.6%).
  • Illinois’ record is 9-6-1 ATS and 13-4 overall when the team makes more than 31.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Michigan State has a 4-8 ATS record and a 9-6 straight-up record this season in games it has shot better than 39.4% from three-point distance.
  • The Fighting Illini are 6-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Spartans are 1-6 ATS and 4-4 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.

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