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The Denver Nuggets (16-14) will look to Nikola Jokic (eighth in the league scoring 26.6 points per game) when they try to hold off Damian Lillard (second in the NBA with 29.8 PPG) and the Portland Trail Blazers (18-12 on Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 8-point home favorites in the game, which tips off at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has a point total of 230.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 23, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 23

Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Out (Adductor),
JaMychal Green: Out (Shoulder),
Greg Whittington: Out (Knee),
Paul Millsap: Out (Knee),
PJ Dozier: Out (Hamstring)

Trail Blazers:
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Wrist),
CJ McCollum: Out (Left foot),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle),
Harry Giles III: Out (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Trail Blazers (+8)
Total Pick Under (230.5)
Prediction Nuggets 117, Trail Blazers 112

The model favors the Nuggets by 5.4 points, just 2.6 fewer than the 8-point spread set by FanDuel.

The model projects a total 1.4 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 30 26.6 11.2 8.5 1.7 0.7 1.5
Jamal Murray 28 20.9 4.4 4.4 1.2 0.3 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 20 13.9 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 2.1
Will Barton 27 11.6 3.6 3.2 0.8 0.4 1.6
Monte Morris 29 10.8 2.2 3.4 0.6 0.2 1.2

Nuggets Player Props

  • Jokic’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 8.5 assists, equal to his season average of 8.5.
  • Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Michael Porter Jr.’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.7 blocks lower than his season average of 1.2.

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Damian Lillard 29 29.8 4.3 7.9 1.0 0.2 4.1
CJ McCollum 13 26.7 3.9 5.0 1.3 0.3 4.8
Gary Trent Jr. 28 15.2 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 3.3
Carmelo Anthony 29 13.0 3.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.7
Enes Kanter 30 11.5 11.2 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.0

Trail Blazers Player Props

  • Lillard’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is posted at 8.5 assists, 0.6 greater than his season average of 7.9.
  • Enes Kanter’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 18.5, 5.3 lower than his season average of 23.8.
  • CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 2.3 shots lower than his season average of 4.8.
  • Robert Covington’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (47.8%).
  • Denver has an 8-8 record against the spread and a 10-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.8% from the field.
  • Portland has an 11-5 record against the spread and a 12-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.4% of their shots from the field.
  • The Trail Blazers have shot at a 44.3% clip from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points fewer than the 47.4% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
  • Portland is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall when it shoots higher than 47.4% from the field.
  • When Denver’s opponents shoot over 44.3% from the field, it is 6-2 against the spread and 8-0 overall.
  • The Nuggets’ 38.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.5 percentage points higher than opponents of the Trail Blazers have shot from deep (36.9%).
  • Denver has assembled a 9-9 record against the spread and a 9-9 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 36.9% of its three-point shots.
  • Portland is 12-5 against the spread while putting together a 12-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 38.4% from beyond the arc.
  • The Trail Blazers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (38.4%) is just 1.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (36.6%).
  • Portland is 14-3 ATS and 15-2 overall when the team hits more than 36.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver has a 9-8 ATS record and a 12-5 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.4% from three-point range.
  • The Nuggets make 13.4 three-pointers per game this season, 2.9 fewer makes per game than the Trail Blazers give up (16.3).
  • Portland is 15-7 against the spread and 16-6 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Denver is 4-10 ATS and 5-9 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Trail Blazers make the second-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nuggets allow the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Trail Blazers AVG Trail Blazers Rank
4th 115.5 Points Scored 115.1 6th
12th 111.8 Points Allowed 115.8 27th
21st 43.5 Rebounds 44.4 16th
16th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 10.9 8th
11th 13.4 3pt Made 16.3 2nd
7th 26.5 Assists 19.9 30th
9th 13 Turnovers 11.2 2nd

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