The Denver Nuggets (16-14) will look to Nikola Jokic (eighth in the league scoring 26.6 points per game) when they try to hold off Damian Lillard (second in the NBA with 29.8 PPG) and the Portland Trail Blazers (18-12 on Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 8-point home favorites in the game, which tips off at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has a point total of 230.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 23, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Betting Odds
Injury Report as of February 23
Gary Harris: Out (Adductor),
JaMychal Green: Out (Shoulder),
Greg Whittington: Out (Knee),
Paul Millsap: Out (Knee),
PJ Dozier: Out (Hamstring)
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Wrist),
CJ McCollum: Out (Left foot),
Zach Collins: Out (Ankle),
Harry Giles III: Out (Calf)
|Spread Pick||Trail Blazers (+8)|
|Total Pick||Under (230.5)|
|Prediction||Nuggets 117, Trail Blazers 112|
The model favors the Nuggets by 5.4 points, just 2.6 fewer than the 8-point spread set by FanDuel.
The model projects a total 1.4 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.
Nuggets Key Players
|Michael Porter Jr.||20||13.9||6.0||1.0||1.0||1.2||2.1|
Nuggets Player Props
- Jokic’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 8.5 assists, equal to his season average of 8.5.
- Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
- Michael Porter Jr.’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.7 blocks lower than his season average of 1.2.
Trail Blazers Key Players
|Gary Trent Jr.||28||15.2||2.1||1.4||0.7||0.2||3.3|
Trail Blazers Player Props
- Lillard’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is posted at 8.5 assists, 0.6 greater than his season average of 7.9.
- Enes Kanter’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 18.5, 5.3 lower than his season average of 23.8.
- CJ McCollum’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 2.3 shots lower than his season average of 4.8.
- Robert Covington’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.
- The Nuggets make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (47.8%).
- Denver has an 8-8 record against the spread and a 10-6 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.8% from the field.
- Portland has an 11-5 record against the spread and a 12-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.4% of their shots from the field.
- The Trail Blazers have shot at a 44.3% clip from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points fewer than the 47.4% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
- Portland is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall when it shoots higher than 47.4% from the field.
- When Denver’s opponents shoot over 44.3% from the field, it is 6-2 against the spread and 8-0 overall.
- The Nuggets’ 38.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.5 percentage points higher than opponents of the Trail Blazers have shot from deep (36.9%).
- Denver has assembled a 9-9 record against the spread and a 9-9 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 36.9% of its three-point shots.
- Portland is 12-5 against the spread while putting together a 12-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 38.4% from beyond the arc.
- The Trail Blazers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (38.4%) is just 1.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (36.6%).
- Portland is 14-3 ATS and 15-2 overall when the team hits more than 36.6% of its three-point attempts.
- Denver has a 9-8 ATS record and a 12-5 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 38.4% from three-point range.
- The Nuggets make 13.4 three-pointers per game this season, 2.9 fewer makes per game than the Trail Blazers give up (16.3).
- Portland is 15-7 against the spread and 16-6 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Denver is 4-10 ATS and 5-9 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
- The Trail Blazers make the second-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nuggets allow the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Stat Rankings
|Nuggets Rank||Nuggets AVG||Trail Blazers AVG||Trail Blazers Rank|
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