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The Dallas Mavericks (13-15) host the Memphis Grizzlies (13-13) as 5-point favorites after Luka Doncic racked up 44 points in the Mavericks’ 121-118 loss to the Trail Blazers. The matchup airs on FS-SE at 8:30 PM ET on Monday, February 22, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 229.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 22, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 22

Mavericks: None

Grizzlies:
Brandon Clarke: Day To Day (Calf),
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (Knee),
Killian Tillie: Out (Foot),
Dillon Brooks: Day To Day (Thigh)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Grizzlies (+5)
Total Pick Under (229.5)
Prediction Mavericks 115, Grizzlies 111

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (3.8 points) is a little tighter than the 5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mavericks, though the data still has them as the favorite.

The model predicts a total 4.0 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 27 29.1 8.6 9.4 1.0 0.7 2.4
Kristaps Porzingis 17 20.5 8.2 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.2
Tim Hardaway Jr. 27 16.7 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.1
Josh Richardson 19 12.5 2.9 2.7 0.8 0.2 1.5
Jalen Brunson 24 11.7 3.2 3.6 0.4 0.0 1.1

Mavericks Player Props

  • Doncic’s points prop total for the game is set at 27.5, 1.6 points less than his season average of 29.1.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.6 shots lower than his season average of 3.1.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Grizzlies Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Ja Morant 18 18.9 3.2 7.8 0.9 0.2 0.7
Jonas Valanciunas 21 16.2 11.0 2.0 0.6 0.8 0.4
Dillon Brooks 24 15.8 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.4 1.9
Kyle Anderson 25 13.8 6.2 3.7 1.1 0.7 1.7
Brandon Clarke 21 12.9 5.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.6

Grizzlies Player Props

  • Ja Morant’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 18.5, 0.4 points less than his season average of 18.9.
  • Jonas Valanciunas’ rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 13.5 rebounds, 2.5 rebounds higher than his season average of 11.0.
  • Grayson Allen’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 shots less than his season average of 2.2.
  • Tyus Jones’ steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Mavericks have a 46.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.3% lower than the 47.9% of shots the Grizzlies’ opponents have made.
  • Dallas has a 6-6 record against the spread and an 8-4 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 47.9% from the field.
  • Memphis has a 9-3-1 record against the spread and a 9-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 46.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Grizzlies have shot at a 46.5% clip from the field this season, 0.7 percentage points less than the 47.2% shooting opponents of the Mavericks have averaged.
  • Memphis is 9-3 against the spread and 9-3 overall when it shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
  • Dallas is 9-6 against the spread and 10-5 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 46.5% from the field.
  • The Mavericks are knocking down 35% of their three-point shots this season, 4.3% lower than the 39.3% the Grizzlies allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Dallas is 4-4 against the spread and 6-2 overall when it shoots better than 39.3% from distance.
  • Memphis is 6-2-1 against the spread while putting together a 6-3 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 35% from three-point range.
  • The Grizzlies are making 35.9% of their shots from deep, which is 1.7 percentage points fewer than the 37.6% the Mavericks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Memphis has an 8-2 ATS record and is 7-3 straight-up when the team hits more than 37.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas is 6-3 ATS and 7-2 overall in games it shoots over 35.9% from deep.
  • The Mavericks’ 13 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.9 more made shots on average than the 11.1 per game the Grizzlies allow.
  • Dallas has gone 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Memphis makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 7-9 ATS and 7-9 straight up.
  • The Mavericks rank 13th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Grizzlies give up the 24th-fewest made threes in the league.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Grizzlies AVG Grizzlies Rank
16th 112.9 Points Scored 111.1 20th
23rd 114.6 Points Allowed 112.4 18th
30th 42.4 Rebounds 44.2 21st
25th 8.6 Off. Rebounds 11.1 5th
13th 13 3pt Made 11.1 25th
25th 23.1 Assists 27.8 1st
3rd 11.6 Turnovers 13.5 13th

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