MVC foes meet when the Southern Illinois Salukis (9-7) host the Valparaiso Crusaders (8-15) at SIU Arena, starting at 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 21, 2021. The Crusaders are 1-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The matchup’s point total is set at 132.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 21, 2021, 2:20 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Salukis (-1)
The DraftKings line for this game has the Salukis favored by one, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (4.1 points). Put your money on the Salukis.
Pick OU:
Over (132.5)
The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.9 points lower than the model projection.
Prediction: Southern Illinois 69, Valparaiso 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Salukis have an average implied point total of 70.9 this season, which is 3.9 points higher than their implied total in Sunday’s game (67).
- So far this season, Southern Illinois has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (67) seven times.
- The 72.2-point average implied total on the season for the Crusaders is 7.2 more points than the team’s 65-point implied total in this matchup.
- Valparaiso is looking to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (65) for the 13th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Southern Illinois and Valparaiso Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 1+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salukis | 8-5-2 | 3-1-1 | 7-8 |
| Crusaders | 8-11-1 | 1-2 | 6-14 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Southern Illinois | Valparaiso | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/17/2021 | Missouri State | Loss | 68-53 | 2/17/2021 | Loyola Chicago | Loss | 54-52 |
| 2/14/2021 | Illinois State | Win | 59-49 | 2/14/2021 | Northern Iowa | Loss | 74-60 |
| 2/13/2021 | Illinois State | Loss | 80-55 | 2/13/2021 | Northern Iowa | Win | 70-57 |
| 2/10/2021 | Missouri State | Loss | 65-53 | 2/10/2021 | Bradley | Loss | 76-52 |
| 2/7/2021 | Bradley | Win | 69-68 | 2/7/2021 | Drake | Win | 74-57 |
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