The Northwestern Wildcats (6-13) are expected to continue a 12-game losing streak when they host the No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers (15-8) as 6.5-point underdogs at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 21, 2021 at Welsh-Ryan Arena. The matchup airs on BTN. The matchup’s point total is set at 131.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 21, 2021, 2:20 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model and DraftKings both have the Badgers taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (4.4 points). Lean towards taking the Wildcats.
In this matchup, the model projects a total (138.9 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (131 points). Bet on the over.
Prediction: Wisconsin 72, Northwestern 67
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Badgers this season is 69.3 points, 0.3 more points than their implied total of 69 points in Sunday’s game.
- Wisconsin has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (69) 11 times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Wildcats (76.9) is 14.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (62).
- Northwestern is trying to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (62) for the 15th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Wisconsin and Northwestern Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 6.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Badgers make 42.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.4 percentage points lower than the Wildcats have allowed to their opponents (43.5%).
- Wisconsin is 8-2 overall and 7-3 against the spread when it shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
- Northwestern is 4-4 overall and 3-1-1 against the spread when allowing its opponents to shoot better than 42.1% from the field.
- The Wildcats’ 44% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.8 percentage points higher than the Badgers have given up to their opponents (41.2%).
- Northwestern has compiled a 7-4-1 record against the spread and a 6-9 record overall in games when it shoots higher than 41.2% from the field.
- Wisconsin is 13-2 overall and 9-5 against the spread in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44% from the field.
- The Badgers shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc, 2.5% higher than the 33.3% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- Wisconsin is 10-2 overall and 8-4 against the spread when it shoots better than 33.3% from distance.
- Northwestern has put up a 5-5 straight-up record and gone 4-1-1 against the spread in games when its opponents shoot over 35.8% from three-point distance.
- The Wildcats shoot 35.3% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 1.7 percentage points higher than the Badgers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (33.6%).
- Northwestern is 6-3 overall and 6-1 against the spread when it shoots better than 33.6% as a team from three-point distance.
- Wisconsin has an 8-6 ATS record and an 11-4 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 35.3% of its three-point shots.
- Northwestern has gone 5-0-1 against the spread and 5-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Wisconsin hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 1-3 ATS and 1-3 straight up.
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