The No. 19 Tennessee Volunteers (15-5) host the Kentucky Wildcats (7-13) after winning four straight home games. The Volunteers are favored by 7 points in the contest, which starts at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 135 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 20, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Both DraftKings and the model expect the Volunteers to walk away with the win, but the model spread (8.2) is 1.2 points further in their direction.
The model predicts a total 3.5 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
Prediction: Tennessee 73, Kentucky 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Volunteers this season is 73.9 points, 2.9 more points than their implied total of 71 points in Saturday’s game.
- Tennessee has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (71) 11 times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Wildcats (73.3) is 9.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
- Kentucky has put up more than 64 points in 12 games this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Tennessee and Kentucky Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 7+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Volunteers have a 45.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 4.4% higher than the 40.8% of shots the Wildcats’ opponents have made.
- In games when Tennessee shoots better than 40.8% from the field, it is 9-4 against the spread and 12-1 overall.
- Kentucky is 4-11-2 against the spread and 7-10 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot higher than 45.2% from the field.
- The Wildcats have shot at a 41.7% rate from the field this season, 1.4 percentage points above the 40.3% shooting opponents of the Volunteers have averaged.
- Kentucky is 7-6 overall and 4-8-1 against the spread when it knocks down more than 40.3% of its shots from the field.
- Tennessee is 11-2 against the spread and 12-1 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 41.7% from the field.
- The Volunteers shoot 34.8% from three-point range, 4.2% higher than the 30.6% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- Tennessee has collected a 9-4 record against the spread and an 11-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 30.6% of its three-point attempts.
- Kentucky is 3-8-2 against the spread while putting together a 4-9 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 34.8% from three-point distance.
- The Wildcats are hitting 32.5% of their shots from three-point distance, which is only 1.9 percentage points greater than the 30.6% the Volunteers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
- Kentucky has a 3-6-1 ATS record and has gone 6-4 straight-up when making more than 30.6% of its three-point attempts.
- Tennessee has a 9-4 ATS record and an 11-2 straight-up record in games this season when it makes more than 32.5% of its three-point shots.
- The Volunteers are 8-4 against the spread and 9-3 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Wildcats are 1-9-1 ATS and 2-9 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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