The VMI Keydets (10-9) visit the Citadel Bulldogs (10-9) as 3.5-point favorites after Greg Parham scored 25 points in the Keydets 88-77 victory over UNC Greensboro. The game airs on ESPN+ at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The point total is 166.5 in the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 20, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Bulldogs (+3.5)
The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.1 points of each other).
Pick OU:
Under (166.5)
The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions higher (7.9 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the under.
Prediction: VMI 81, Citadel 78
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Keydets’ average implied point total this season is 5.8 fewer points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (79.2 implied points on average compared to 85 implied points in this game).
- VMI has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (85) six times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Bulldogs (84.6) is 2.6 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (82).
- Citadel will aim to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (82) for the ninth time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
VMI and Citadel Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keydets | 11-4-1 | 4-0 | 8-8 |
| Bulldogs | 9-6 | 0-0 | 5-10 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| VMI | Citadel | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/17/2021 | UNC Greensboro | Win | 88-77 | 2/17/2021 | Wofford | Loss | 81-67 |
| 2/13/2021 | Samford | Win | 85-56 | 2/13/2021 | Chattanooga | Loss | 70-66 |
| 2/10/2021 | Western Carolina | Loss | 74-72 | 2/10/2021 | East Tennessee State | Win | 79-71 |
| 2/3/2021 | Wofford | Win | 84-80 | 2/6/2021 | Western Carolina | Win | 74-63 |
| 1/30/2021 | UNC Greensboro | Loss | 76-59 | 2/3/2021 | UNC Greensboro | Loss | 85-66 |
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