The No. 23 Kansas Jayhawks (16-7) are 1-point favorites as they look to extend a four-game winning streak when they host the No. 15 Texas Tech Red Raiders (14-6) on Saturday, February 20, 2021 at Allen Fieldhouse. The contest airs at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 133.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 20, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model projects the Jayhawks to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (3.5 to 1).
The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 5.0 points lower than the model projection.
Prediction: Kansas 71, Texas Tech 68
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Jayhawks have an average implied point total of 75.5 this season, which is 7.5 points higher than their implied total in Saturday’s game (68).
- Kansas has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (68) 14 times.
- The Red Raiders’ average implied point total on the season (74.1 points) is 8.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
- Texas Tech is trying to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (66) for the 15th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Kansas and Texas Tech Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 1+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Jayhawks have a 44.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.5% higher than the 40.7% of shots the Red Raiders’ opponents have made.
- Kansas is 7-6-1 against the spread and 10-5 overall when it shoots higher than 40.7% from the field.
- Texas Tech’s record is 12-3 overall and 6-8 against the spread when its opponents make more than 44.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Red Raiders’ 43.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.6 percentage points higher than the Jayhawks have allowed to their opponents (41%).
- This season, Texas Tech has a 6-6 record against the spread and an 11-2 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 41% from the field.
- When opponents of Kansas shoot higher than 43.6% from the field, it is 10-3 against the spread and 14-0 overall.
- The Jayhawks are hitting 35.3% of their three-point shots this season, 0.2% lower than the 35.5% the Red Raiders allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Kansas has assembled a 5-3-1 record against the spread and a 7-3 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 35.5% of its three-point shots.
- Texas Tech has gone 9-2 overall and has a 4-6 record against the spread in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 35.3% from deep.
- The Red Raiders’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34%) is just 0.7 percentage points higher than opponents of the Jayhawks are averaging (33.3%).
- Texas Tech is 5-4 ATS and 8-2 overall when hitting more than 33.3% of its three-point attempts.
- Kansas has a 7-4 ATS record and a 10-1 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 34% of its three-point shots.
- The Jayhawks hit 7.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.3 more made shots on average than the 6.4 per game the Red Raiders allow.
- Kansas is 7-2-1 against the spread and 9-2 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Texas Tech is 2-9 ATS and 7-4 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
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