The No. 13 West Virginia Mountaineers (14-6) are 3.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a four-game road winning streak when they visit the No. 12 Texas Longhorns (13-5) on Saturday, February 20, 2021 at Frank Erwin Center. The game airs at 3:00 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 20, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (2.8 points) is a little tighter than the 3.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Longhorns, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The DraftKings total for this game, 146.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 146.2 points, are only 0.3 points apart.
Prediction: Texas 74, West Virginia 72
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Longhorns this season is 73.8 points, 1.2 fewer points than their implied total of 75 points in Saturday’s game.
- Texas has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (75) 10 times this season.
- The Mountaineers’ average implied point total on the season (75.2 points) is 3.2 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (72 points).
- This season, West Virginia has scored more than this game’s implied total of 72 points 13 times.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Texas and West Virginia Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Longhorns are shooting 44.7% from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points higher than the 43.5% the Mountaineers allow to opponents.
- Texas is 5-7 against the spread and 9-3 overall in games when it collectively shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
- West Virginia is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 44.7% from the field.
- The Mountaineers are shooting 43.1% from the field, 2.7% higher than the 40.4% the Longhorns’ opponents have shot this season.
- West Virginia has compiled a 9-4 record against the spread and an 11-2 record overall in games when it shoots above 40.4% from the field.
- This season, Texas has a 9-4 straight up record and a 7-6 record against the spread when it allows opponents to shoot greater than 43.1% from the field.
- The Longhorns are hitting 34.2% of their three-point shots this season, 2.9% higher than the 31.3% the Mountaineers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Texas has assembled a 9-3 straight-up record and a 5-7 record against the spread in games when the team hits more than 31.3% of its three-point shots this season.
- West Virginia is 8-4 against the spread and 9-3 overall when its opponents shoot better than 34.2% from deep.
- The Mountaineers three-point shooting percentage this season (37%) is 5.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Longhorns are averaging (31.7%).
- West Virginia is 10-3 overall and 8-5 against the spread when it shoots better than 31.7% as a team from three-point range.
- Texas has a 7-6 ATS record and a 10-3 straight-up record this season in games it has shot better than 37% from three-point distance.
- The Longhorns connect on 9.1 three-pointers per game this season, 1.8 more makes per game than the Mountaineers give up (7.3).
- The Longhorns are 6-9 against the spread and 12-3 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS and 5-2 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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