The Saint Louis Billikens (10-3) are favored (-5.5) to build on a four-game win streak when they visit the Dayton Flyers (10-5) at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, February 19, 2021 at University of Dayton Arena. The contest airs on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under set at 137.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 19, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Flyers (+5.5)
The model and DraftKings both have the Billikens taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (4.9 points). Lean towards taking the Flyers.
Pick OU:
Over (137.5)
In this game, the model projects a total (139.3 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (137.5 points).
Prediction: Saint Louis 72, Dayton 67
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Billikens have an average implied point total of 77.1 this season, which is 5.1 points higher than their implied total in Friday’s game (72).
- Saint Louis has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (72) nine times this season.
- The Flyers’ average implied point total on the season (69.7 points) is 3.7 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
- Dayton has scored more than 66 points in 11 games on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Saint Louis and Dayton Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billikens | 9-4 | 6-3 | 8-5 |
| Flyers | 8-7 | 3-2 | 8-7 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Saint Louis | Dayton | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/16/2021 | La Salle | Win | 78-57 | 2/16/2021 | Rhode Island | Loss | 91-89 |
| 2/13/2021 | Fordham | Win | 68-40 | 2/9/2021 | VCU | Loss | 76-67 |
| 2/10/2021 | Rhode Island | Win | 67-60 | 2/5/2021 | George Mason | Win | 74-65 |
| 2/6/2021 | Saint Bonaventure | Win | 70-59 | 2/2/2021 | Duquesne | Loss | 69-64 |
| 2/3/2021 | La Salle | Loss | 82-75 | 1/30/2021 | Rhode Island | Win | 67-56 |
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