The No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers (15-7) are at home in Big Ten action against the No. 11 Iowa Hawkeyes (15-6) on Thursday, February 18, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET. The Badgers are 1-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season. The over/under in the matchup is set at 145.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 18, 2021, 2:14 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model leans slightly toward betting on the Hawkeyes in this one. The data favors them while DraftKings has the Badgers favored, but the difference between the two is only 2.7 points.
The model predicts a total 1.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: Iowa 74, Wisconsin 73
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Badgers have an average implied point total of 69.1 this season, which is 4.9 points lower than their implied total in Thursday’s game (74).
- Wisconsin has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (74) seven times this season.
- The 83.6-point average implied total on the season for the Hawkeyes is 11.6 more points than the team’s 72-point implied total in this matchup.
- Iowa has totaled more than 72 points in 18 games this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Wisconsin and Iowa Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 1+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Badgers are shooting 42.8% from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points higher than the 41.9% the Hawkeyes allow to opponents.
- In games when Wisconsin shoots higher than 41.9% from the field, it is 10-2 overall and 7-5 against the spread.
- Iowa is 9-1 overall and 6-3 against the spread when allowing opponents to shoot better than 42.8% from the field.
- The Hawkeyes are shooting 47.5% from the field, 6.7% higher than the 40.8% the Badgers’ opponents have shot this season.
- This season, Iowa has put together a 10-5 record against the spread and a 15-3 record overall in games the team shoots above 40.8% collectively from the field.
- When Wisconsin’s opponents hit better than 47.5% from the field, it is 10-6 against the spread and 14-3 overall.
- The Badgers are knocking down 35.6% of their three-point shots this season, 1% higher than the 34.6% the Hawkeyes allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Wisconsin is 10-1 overall and 8-3 against the spread when it shoots better than 34.6% from distance.
- Iowa is 10-1 overall and 7-2 against the spread when its opponents shoot better than 35.6% from deep.
- The Hawkeyes are knocking down 39.5% of their shots from three-point range, which is 7.2 percentage points higher than the 32.3% the Badgers’ are averaging on the season.
- Iowa’s record is 10-5 ATS and 14-4 overall when the team makes more than 32.3% of its three-point attempts.
- Wisconsin has a 9-8 ATS record and a 13-5 straight-up record this season in games it has shot better than 39.5% from three-point range.
- The Badgers connect on 8.2 three-pointers per game this season, 1.9 fewer made shots on average than the 10.1 per game the Hawkeyes give up.
- Iowa is 7-3 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while Wisconsin is 1-3 ATS and 1-3 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
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