The No. 25 San Diego State Aztecs (12-3) are heavily favored (-14) to continue a six-game winning streak when they visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 18, 2021 at Save Mart Center. The matchup airs on CBS Sports. The point total in the matchup is set at 129.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 18, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Aztecs (-14)
The DraftKings line for this game has the Aztecs favored by 14, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (16.2 points).
Pick OU:
Over (129.5)
The model projects a total 5.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: San Diego State 76, Fresno State 60
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Aztecs’ average implied point total this season is 2.1 more points than their implied total in Thursday’s game (74.1 implied points on average compared to 72 implied points in this game).
- San Diego State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (72) 10 times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Bulldogs (72.2) is 14.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (58).
- Fresno State has scored more than 58 points 10 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
San Diego State and Fresno State Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 14+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aztecs | 8-6 | 4-1 | 8-6 |
| Bulldogs | 4-6 | 2-0 | 4-6 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| San Diego State | Fresno State | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/10/2021 | San Jose State | Win | 77-55 | 2/13/2021 | Air Force | Win | 67-64 |
| 2/8/2021 | San Jose State | Win | 85-54 | 2/11/2021 | Air Force | Win | 69-63 |
| 1/30/2021 | Wyoming | Win | 98-71 | 2/4/2021 | Utah State | Loss | 69-53 |
| 1/28/2021 | Wyoming | Win | 87-57 | 1/30/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 65-55 |
| 1/24/2021 | Air Force | Win | 91-59 | 1/28/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 64-62 |
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