The UCF Knights (6-11) host the South Florida Bulls (7-7) in a matchup of AAC teams at Addition Financial Arena, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 17, 2021. The Knights are 3.5-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has an over/under of 129.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 17, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Knights (-3.5)

The DraftKings line for this game has the Knights favored by 3.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (4.2 points).

Pick OU:
Over (129)

The DraftKings point total for this game is just 5.1 points lower than the model projection.

Prediction: UCF 69, South Florida 65

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Knights this season is 71.2 points, 5.2 more points than their implied total of 66 points in Wednesday’s game.
  • UCF has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (66) six times this season.
  • The 68.5-point average implied total on the season for the Bulls is 5.5 more points than the team’s 63-point implied total in this matchup.
  • South Florida has scored more than 63 points in nine games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

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UCF and South Florida Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Knights 8-9 1-1 8-9
Bulls 4-8 0-3 7-5

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Knights make 41.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points lower than the Bulls have allowed to their opponents (43.9%).
  • UCF has gone 3-2 overall and 4-1 against the spread when it shoots higher than 43.9% from the field.
  • South Florida is 1-3 against the spread and 4-1 overall when its opponents shoot better than 41.9% from the field.
  • The Bulls’ 42.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.4 percentage points lower than the Knights have given up to their opponents (43.9%).
  • South Florida has a 1-1 record against the spread and a 4-0 record overall in games when it shoots above 43.9% from the field.
  • When opponents of UCF shoot higher than 42.5% from the field, it is 3-4 against the spread and 3-4 overall.
  • The Knights’ 35.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is 5.7 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bulls have shot from deep (29.7%).
  • UCF has collected a 7-6 record against the spread and a 5-8 straight-up record in games this season when making more than 29.7% of its three-point shots.
  • South Florida is 6-5 overall and 3-6 against the spread when its opponents shoot higher than 35.4% from deep.
  • The Bulls three-point shooting percentage this season (34.3%) is 1.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Knights are averaging (32.5%).
  • South Florida has a 4-3 ATS record and is 6-3 straight-up when the team hits more than 32.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • UCF is 5-5 ATS and 4-6 overall in games when shooting above 34.3% from deep.
  • The Knights knock down 7.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.3 more makes per game than the Bulls give up (6.2).
  • UCF has gone 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When South Florida hits fewer threes than its opponents, it is 0-5 ATS and 2-4 straight up.

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