The Missouri State Bears (12-4) are 5.5-point favorites as they try to extend a five-game winning streak when they visit the Southern Illinois Salukis (9-6) on Wednesday, February 17, 2021 at SIU Arena. The matchup airs at 9:15 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is 136.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 17, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Salukis (+5.5)

The spread for this game suggested by the model (4.6 points) is slightly less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bears, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Pick OU:
Over (136.5)

In this matchup, the model projects a total (137.9 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (136.5 points).

Prediction: Missouri State 71, Southern Illinois 67

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Bears’ average implied point total this season is 3.1 more points than their implied total in Wednesday’s game (74.1 implied points on average compared to 71 implied points in this game).
  • So far this season, Missouri State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (71) 11 times.
  • The Salukis’ average implied point total on the season (70.9 points) is 4.9 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
  • Southern Illinois has scored more than 66 points in nine games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Missouri State and Southern Illinois Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Bears 8-5-1 5-1 6-8
Salukis 8-4-2 2-1-1 7-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Missouri State

Southern Illinois
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/14/2021 Bradley Win 72-57 2/14/2021 Illinois State Win 59-49
2/13/2021 Bradley Win 80-58 2/13/2021 Illinois State Loss 80-55
2/10/2021 Southern Illinois Win 65-53 2/10/2021 Missouri State Loss 65-53
2/7/2021 Illinois State Win 72-62 2/7/2021 Bradley Win 69-68
2/6/2021 Illinois State Win 74-67 2/6/2021 Bradley Loss 74-66

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