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The Oklahoma City Thunder (10-15) will look to break a three-game losing streak when they host the Milwaukee Bucks (16-10) on Sunday, February 14, 2021 at Chesapeake Energy Arena as heavy, 11-point underdogs. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on FS-OK. The matchup’s point total is 225.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 14, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 14

Bucks:
Jordan Nwora: Out (Ankle),
Jrue Holiday: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Thunder:
Trevor Ariza: Out (Personal),
Theo Maledon: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Knee),
George Hill: Out (Thumb)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+11)
Total Pick Over (225.5)
Prediction Bucks 117, Thunder 110

The model favors the Bucks by 6.5 points, a much smaller margin than the 11-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Thunder to cover.

The model projects a total 1.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 25 28.1 11.2 5.6 1.0 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 26 20.6 5.9 6.2 1.0 0.1 2.5
Jrue Holiday 23 16.4 4.8 5.4 1.9 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 26 11.2 5.2 0.7 0.5 1.4 1.7
Bobby Portis 26 11.2 7.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 1.0

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 12.5 rebounds, 1.3 rebounds greater than his season average of 11.2.
  • Khris Middleton’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 1.1 lower than his season average of 32.6.
  • Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals lower than his season average of 1.9.

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 21 22.6 5.6 6.5 0.9 0.7 1.9
Al Horford 17 14.5 6.9 3.4 1.1 0.9 2.2
Hamidou Diallo 25 12.8 5.2 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.4
Luguentz Dort 24 11.8 3.3 1.4 0.9 0.3 1.8
George Hill 14 11.8 2.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 1.6

Thunder Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 33.5, 1.2 less than his season average of 34.7.
  • Darius Bazley’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 22.5, 1.7 higher than his season average of 20.8.
  • Al Horford’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 shots lower than his season average of 2.2.
  • Hamidou Diallo’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.6 steals less than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks make 49.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is three percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (46.3%).
  • Milwaukee is 11-7 against the spread and 13-5 overall when it shoots better than 46.3% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City is 11-4-1 against the spread and 7-9 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 49.3% from the field.
  • The Thunder are shooting 44.9% from the field, 0.6% lower than the 45.5% the Bucks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Oklahoma City is 8-3-1 against the spread and 6-6 overall when it shoots better than 45.5% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 9-2 against the spread and 11-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44.9% from the field.
  • The Bucks are making 40.1% of their three-point shots this season, 5.3% higher than the 34.8% the Thunder allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Milwaukee is 10-9 against the spread and 13-6 overall when it shoots better than 34.8% from distance.
  • Oklahoma City is 13-5-1 against the spread and 8-11 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 40.1% from deep.
  • The Thunder shoot 33.7% from three-point distance this season. That’s only 4.9 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (38.6%).
  • Oklahoma City is 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 overall when shooting above 38.6% as a team from three-point range.
  • Milwaukee is 7-0 ATS and 7-0 overall in games it shoots over 33.7% from deep.
  • The Bucks hit 15.3 three-pointers per game this season, 2.7 more makes per game than the Thunder give up (12.6).
  • Milwaukee is 10-4 against the spread and 12-2 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Oklahoma City is 5-5-1 ATS and 3-8 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Bucks rank fourth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Thunder give up the 16th-fewest made threes in the league.

Bucks vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
1st 121.2 Points Scored 107.4 26th
19th 112.6 Points Allowed 113.4 21st
2nd 47.8 Rebounds 44.8 9th
13th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 7.7 29th
4th 15.3 3pt Made 12.6 15th
7th 26.6 Assists 23.1 24th
8th 13 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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