The No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers (15-6) host the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (13-1) in a matchup of Big Ten teams at Kohl Center, tipping off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 14, 2021. The Badgers are 1-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has a point total of 133.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 14, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Wolverines (+1)

While DraftKings has the Badgers winning by one, the model has the Wolverines taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.2 points). Take the Wolverines.

Pick OU:
Over (133.5)

The model predicts a total 5.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Prediction: Michigan 71, Wisconsin 68

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Badgers this season is 69.2 points, 1.2 more points than their implied total of 68 points in Sunday’s game.
  • Wisconsin has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (68) 12 times.
  • The Wolverines’ average implied point total on the season (77.4 points) is 11.4 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
  • Michigan has scored more than 66 points in 12 games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Wisconsin and Michigan Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 1+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Badgers 10-10 9-8 10-9
Wolverines 11-3 11-3 7-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • This season, the Badgers have a 42.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.7% higher than the 37.2% of shots the Wolverines’ opponents have hit.
  • Wisconsin has amassed a 9-9 record against the spread and a 13-5 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 37.2% from the field.
  • Michigan is 12-0 overall and 10-2 against the spread when allowing its opponents to shoot higher than 42.9% from the field.
  • The Wolverines are shooting 51.1% from the field, 10.3% higher than the 40.8% the Badgers’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Michigan has put together an 11-2 record against the spread and a 13-0 straight up record in games it shoots better than 40.8% from the field.
  • This season, Wisconsin has a 10-8 record against the spread and a 15-4 record overall when its opponents shoot greater than 51.1% from the field.
  • The Badgers’ 35.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is 3.6 percentage points higher than opponents of the Wolverines have shot from beyond the arc (32.2%).
  • Wisconsin has assembled a 10-1 straight-up record and an 8-3 record against the spread in games when the team makes more than 32.2% of its three-point attempts this season.
  • Michigan is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall when its opponents make more than 35.8% of their shots from deep.
  • The Wolverines shoot 37.8% from three-point distance this season. That’s 5.9 percentage points higher than the Badgers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (31.9%).
  • Michigan’s record is 8-1 ATS and 9-0 overall when the team makes more than 31.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Wisconsin has a 9-7 ATS record and a 12-5 straight-up record in games this season when it hits more than 37.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Badgers are 8-5 against the spread and 11-3 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Wolverines are 4-1 ATS and 5-0 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.

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