The Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-12) are expected to continue a nine-game losing streak when they visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-9) as 11-point underdogs at 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 14, 2021 at Bryce Jordan Center. The contest airs on BTN. The point total in the matchup is set at 143.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 14, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model and DraftKings both have the Nittany Lions taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (10.1 points). Lean towards taking the Cornhuskers.
DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 1.0 point of each other.
Prediction: Penn State 77, Nebraska 67
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Nittany Lions’ average implied point total this season is 1.2 fewer points than their implied total in Sunday’s game (75.8 implied points on average compared to 77 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, Penn State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (77) seven times.
- The Cornhuskers’ average implied point total on the season (79.1 points) is 13.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
- Nebraska has scored more than this game’s implied total of 66 points 10 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Penn State and Nebraska Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 11+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Nittany Lions have a 41.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.1% lower than the 41.8% of shots the Cornhuskers’ opponents have knocked down.
- In games Penn State shoots better than 41.8% from the field, it is 5-4 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
- Nebraska has gone 4-3 against the spread and 4-4 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot better than 41.7% from the field.
- The Cornhuskers have shot at a 40.6% clip from the field this season, 5.6 percentage points fewer than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Nittany Lions have averaged.
- Nebraska has compiled a 2-1 straight up record and a 2-0 record against the spread in games it shoots above 46.2% from the field.
- When opponents of Penn State shoot greater than 40.6% from the field, it is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
- The Nittany Lions’ 34.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is 3.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Cornhuskers have shot from deep (31.1%).
- Penn State is 5-5 overall and 5-3 against the spread when it shoots better than 31.1% from distance.
- Nebraska has put up a 5-5 against the spread while going 4-7 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 34.2% from deep.
- The Cornhuskers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (31.3%) is only 0.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Nittany Lions are averaging (31.2%).
- Nebraska has a 3-5 ATS record and has gone 2-7 straight-up when hitting more than 31.2% of its three-point attempts.
- Penn State has a 4-3 ATS record and a 3-5 straight-up record in games this season when it knocks down more than 31.3% of its three-point shots.
- Penn State is 8-3 against the spread and 5-7 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Nebraska is 1-5 ATS and 1-6 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
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