Lakers vs Nuggets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 14, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 14, 2021 - Last Updated on February 19, 2021

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (14-11) are 2.5-point underdogs against LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (21-6) Sunday, February 14, 2021 at Ball Arena. The matchup starts at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has a point total of 215.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 14, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Lakers vs Nuggets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 14

Lakers:
Anthony Davis: Day To Day (Achilles),
LeBron James: Day To Day (Ankle),
Alex Caruso: Day To Day (Hand),
Kostas Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Nuggets:
Greg Whittington: Out (Knee),
Will Barton: Out (Personal),
Gary Harris: Out (Left Adductor),
PJ Dozier: Out (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Day To Day (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (+2.5)
Total Pick Over (215.5)
Prediction Nuggets 112, Lakers 111

The model has the Nuggets as 0.4-point favorites in this one despite the opposite prediction from DraftKings. However, the margin between the two lines is only 2.9 points.

The model predicts a total 6.9 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Lakers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
LeBron James 27 25.6 7.9 7.9 1.1 0.5 2.7
Anthony Davis 22 22.8 8.6 3.1 1.5 1.9 0.8
Dennis Schroder 27 14.1 3.8 4.4 0.8 0.1 1.0
Montrezl Harrell 27 13.5 6.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.0
Kyle Kuzma 27 10.7 6.1 1.1 0.3 0.7 1.7

Lakers Player Props

  • James’ PRA prop total for the game is listed at 41.5, 0.1 higher than his season average of 41.4.
  • Anthony Davis’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 35.5, 1.0 higher than his season average of 34.5.
  • James’ three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Davis’ blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks lower than his season average of 1.9.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 25 26.7 11.4 8.6 1.6 0.7 1.4
Jamal Murray 23 18.3 4.0 4.4 1.1 0.3 2.0
Michael Porter Jr. 15 14.9 6.2 0.9 1.1 1.1 2.3
Will Barton 25 11.6 3.7 3.2 0.8 0.4 1.6
Monte Morris 25 11.0 2.0 3.4 0.7 0.2 1.2

Nuggets Player Props

  • Jokic’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 44.5, 2.2 lower than his season average of 46.7.
  • Michael Porter Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 2.3.
  • Porter’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Lakers are shooting 48.6% from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points higher than the 47.1% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
  • Los Angeles has a 9-8 record against the spread and a 13-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.1% from the field.
  • Denver is 8-6 against the spread and 11-3 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.6% from the field.
  • The Nuggets’ 48% shooting percentage from the field this season is three percentage points higher than the Lakers have allowed to their opponents (45%).
  • Denver has compiled a 9-10 record against the spread and a 12-7 straight up record in games it shoots better than 45% from the field.
  • When Los Angeles’ opponents shoot above 48% from the field, it is 10-10 against the spread and 16-4 overall.
  • The Lakers are making 36.4% of their three-point shots this season, 0.3% lower than the 36.7% the Nuggets allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Los Angeles has assembled a 7-5 record against the spread and a 10-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 36.7% of its three-point shots.
  • Denver is 7-5 against the spread while putting up a 10-2 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 36.4% from three-point distance.
  • The Nuggets shoot 37.8% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only 3.8 percentage points higher than the Lakers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (34%).
  • Denver is 7-9 against the spread and 8-8 overall when shooting over 34% as a team from three-point range.
  • Los Angeles is 9-7 ATS and 12-4 overall in games it shoots over 37.8% from deep.
  • The Lakers knock down 11 three-pointers per game this season, two fewer made shots on average than the 13 per game the Nuggets give up.
  • Denver has gone 5-3 against the spread and 6-2 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Los Angeles makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 4-9 ATS and 7-6 straight up.
  • The Lakers are the 26th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Nuggets give up the 17th-fewest makes from deep.

Lakers vs Nuggets Stat Rankings

Lakers Rank Lakers AVG Nuggets AVG Nuggets Rank
13th 113.2 Points Scored 115.2 4th
2nd 105.2 Points Allowed 111.2 11th
6th 45.7 Rebounds 44.3 10th
19th 9.7 Off. Rebounds 10.8 10th
26th 11 3pt Made 13 12th
12th 25 Assists 26.8 6th
26th 14.5 Turnovers 13 9th

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