The Xavier Musketeers (11-2) are favored (-3) to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the UConn Huskies (8-5) at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Cintas Center. The contest airs on FOX. The matchup’s over/under is set at 135.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Musketeers (-3)

The DraftKings line for this game has the Musketeers favored by three, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (4.7 points).

Pick OU:
Over (135)

The model predicts a total 5.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Prediction: Xavier 73, UConn 68

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Musketeers this season is 75.8 points, 6.8 more points than their implied total of 69 points in Saturday’s game.
  • Xavier has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (69) nine times this season.
  • The Huskies’ average implied point total on the season (73.2 points) is 7.2 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (66 points).
  • UConn has totaled more than 66 points in eight games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

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Xavier and UConn Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 3+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Musketeers 8-4 3-4 7-5
Huskies 8-3 4-2 5-6

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Musketeers are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, 5.5 percentage points higher than the 42.3% the Huskies allow to opponents.
  • Xavier has a 9-1 straight-up record and a 6-3 record against the spread in games it shoots better than 42.3% from the field.
  • UConn is 6-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot higher than 47.8% from the field.
  • The Huskies have shot at a 42.9% rate from the field this season, 3.2 percentage points above the 39.7% shooting opponents of the Musketeers have averaged.
  • UConn is 7-3 overall and 6-3 against the spread when it shoots better than 39.7% from the field.
  • When opponents of Xavier shoot greater than 42.9% from the field, it is 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall.
  • The Musketeers are making 36.4% of their three-point shots this season, 4.1% higher than the 32.3% the Huskies allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Xavier is 7-0 overall and 6-1 against the spread when it shoots better than 32.3% from distance.
  • UConn is 7-2 against the spread while putting together a 7-3 straight-up record when its opponents make more than 36.4% of their shots from beyond the arc.
  • The Huskies shoot 34.2% from beyond the arc this season. That’s only two percentage points higher than the Musketeers have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (32.2%).
  • UConn is 5-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall when it shoots over 32.2% as a team from deep.
  • Xavier has a 7-2 straight-up record and a 7-1 ATS record when it has shot better than 34.2% from three-point distance.
  • The Musketeers connect on 8.2 three-pointers per game this season, 1.3 more made shots on average than the 6.9 per game the Huskies give up.
  • When Xavier makes more threes than its opponents, it is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall. When UConn is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 0-1 ATS and 0-2 straight up.

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