The No. 17 Florida State Seminoles (10-3) are heavily favored (by 13 points) to continue a five-game home win streak when they host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-8) on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET. The point total is set at 143 for the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Seminoles (-13)

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Seminoles to walk away with the win, but the model spread (13.8) is 0.8 points further in their direction.

Pick OU:
Under (143)

The model’s predicted total (142.3 points) and the DraftKings set total (143 points) are virtually the same for this contest.

Prediction: Florida State 78, Wake Forest 64

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Seminoles have an average implied point total of 72.8 this season, which is 5.2 points lower than their implied total in Saturday’s game (78).
  • Florida State has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (78) seven times this season.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Demon Deacons (75.2) is 10.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (65).
  • Wake Forest has totaled more than 65 points 10 times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

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Florida State and Wake Forest Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 13+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Seminoles 7-5 0-2 7-4-1
Demon Deacons 9-4 1-1 6-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Seminoles make 47.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Demon Deacons have allowed to their opponents (45.1%).
  • Florida State is 7-1 against the spread and 8-1 overall in games when it shoots better than 45.1% from the field.
  • Wake Forest is 5-1 overall and 5-0 against the spread when allowing opponents to shoot better than 47.3% from the field.
  • The Demon Deacons are shooting 42.8% from the field, -2.8% lower than the 40% the Seminoles’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Wake Forest has a 6-4 record overall and a 7-2 record against the spread in games the team collectively shoots higher than 40% from the field.
  • When opponents of Florida State shoot above 42.8% from the field, it is 4-3 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • The Seminoles shoot 37.7% from deep, 3.9% higher than the 33.8% the Demon Deacons allow to opponents.
  • Florida State is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 overall when it shoots better than 33.8% from deep.
  • Wake Forest is 6-2 against the spread while putting together a 4-5 straight-up record when its opponents make more than 37.7% of their shots from downtown.
  • The Demon Deacons’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.6%) is only 1.6 percentage points higher than opponents of the Seminoles are averaging (33%).
  • Wake Forest is 3-4 straight-up and has a 6-1 ATS record when the team hits more than 33% of its three-point attempts.
  • Florida State has a 3-4 ATS record and a 5-2 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 34.6% of its three-point shots.
  • When Wake Forest makes more threes than its opponents, it is 7-1 against the spread and 4-4 overall. When Florida State is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 3-2 ATS and 5-1 straight up.

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