Kentucky vs Auburn: College Basketball Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – February 13, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 13, 2021 - Last Updated on February 16, 2021

The Kentucky Wildcats (5-13) will try to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Auburn Tigers (11-10) on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Rupp Arena as only 1.5-point favorites. The game airs at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. The point total is set at 145.5 for the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Wildcats (-1.5)

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Wildcats to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (2.2) is 0.7 points further in their direction.

Pick OU:
Over (145.5)

In this game, the model projects a total (146.6 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (145.5 points).

Prediction: Kentucky 74, Auburn 72

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Wildcats this season is 73.2 points, 0.8 fewer points than their implied total of 74 points in Saturday’s game.
  • Kentucky has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (74) six times this season.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Tigers (77.9) is 5.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (72).
  • Auburn has scored more than this game’s implied total of 72 points 15 times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Kentucky and Auburn Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 1.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Wildcats 4-13-1 3-8 7-11
Tigers 9-8-2 5-4-1 9-10

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Wildcats are shooting 41.7% from the field this season, 1.8 percentage points lower than the 43.5% the Tigers allow to opponents.
  • Kentucky has a 2-4 record against the spread and a 2-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
  • Auburn’s record is 6-1-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall when it allows its opponents to make more than 41.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Tigers’ 44.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.9 percentage points higher than the Wildcats have given up to their opponents (40.9%).
  • Auburn has compiled an 8-5-2 record against the spread and a 9-7 straight up record in games it shoots over 40.9% from the field.
  • Kentucky is 4-10-1 against the spread and 5-10 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 44.8% from the field.
  • The Wildcats’ 31.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.5 percentage points higher than opponents of the Tigers have shot from beyond the arc (31.2%).
  • Kentucky is 3-5 against the spread and 4-4 overall when it shoots better than 31.2% from distance.
  • Auburn is 7-6 overall and 5-4-2 against the spread when its opponents shoot higher than 31.7% from deep.
  • The Tigers are making 33.3% of their shots from deep, which is 2.4 percentage points higher than the 30.9% the Wildcats’ are averaging on the season.
  • Auburn is 5-5 overall and 2-5-1 against the spread when it shoots above 30.9% as a team from three-point distance.
  • Kentucky has a 3-8-1 ATS record and a 3-9 straight-up record in games this season when it makes more than 33.3% of its three-point shots.
  • The Wildcats hit 5.6 three-pointers per game this season, 3.6 fewer made shots on average than the 9.2 per game the Tigers give up.
  • Auburn has gone 5-6-1 against the spread and 7-7 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Kentucky makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 1-9-1 ATS and 2-9 straight up.

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