Cameron Thomas leads the LSU Tigers (12-6) into a matchup against the No. 16 Tennessee Volunteers (14-4) after scoring 25 points in a 94-80 win over Mississippi State. The Tigers are 2.5-point underdogs in the game on Saturday, February 13, 2021, which tips at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 146.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (1.2 points) is a little tighter than the 2.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Volunteers, though the data still has them as the favorite.
DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.5 points of each other.
Prediction: Tennessee 73, LSU 72
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Volunteers this season is 73.7 points, 0.3 fewer points than their implied total of 74 points in Saturday’s game.
- Tennessee has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (74) nine times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Tigers (80.7) is 8.7 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (72).
- This season, LSU has scored more than this game’s implied total of 72 points 15 times.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Tennessee and LSU Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Volunteers have a 45.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.6% higher than the 42.6% of shots the Tigers’ opponents have hit.
- Tennessee is 8-4 against the spread and 11-1 overall in games when it collectively shoots higher than 42.6% from the field.
- LSU is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.2% from the field.
- The Tigers’ 46.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 7.2 percentage points higher than the Volunteers have allowed to their opponents (39.7%).
- LSU is 7-8 against the spread and 12-3 overall when shooting better than 39.7% from the field.
- Tennessee is 10-6 against the spread and 13-3 overall in games its opponents shoot greater than 46.9% from the field.
- The Volunteers shoot 34.5% from three-point range, 4.2% higher than the 30.3% the Tigers allow to opponents.
- Tennessee is 8-4 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it shoots better than 30.3% from distance.
- LSU is 6-8 against the spread while putting up a 10-4 straight-up record when its opponents make more than 34.5% of their shots from beyond the arc.
- The Tigers three-point shooting percentage this season (34.3%) is 4.6 percentage points higher than opponents of the Volunteers are averaging (29.7%).
- LSU is 7-7 against the spread and 11-3 overall when shooting above 29.7% as a team from three-point range.
- Tennessee has an 11-2 straight-up record and a 9-4 ATS record when it has shot better than 34.3% from three-point range.
- The Volunteers hit 6.3 three-pointers per game this season, 1.7 fewer made shots on average than the 8 per game the Tigers give up.
- LSU is 4-2 against the spread and 4-2 overall when it hit more threes than its opponents, while Tennessee is 1-4 ATS and 3-2 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
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